Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.28. Unchanged over the period, from 0.28. Range 0.28 to 0.28. 156 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.30	9	9
0.32	5	14
0.33	50	64
0.34	50	114
0.37	23	137
0.38	11	148
0.39	50	198
0.49	60	258
0.50	60	318
0.62	9	327
0.79	40	367
0.80	301	668

Spread0.04Mid0.28

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.26	298	298
0.24	4,244	4,542
0.20	5	4,547
0.17	41	4,588
0.16	50	4,638
0.14	10	4,648
0.11	1,020	5,668
0.08	4,685	10,353
0.07	7	10,360
0.06	35,625	45,985
0.05	53,075	99,060
0.04	4,969	104,029

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.74	298	298
0.76	4,244	4,542
0.80	5	4,547
0.83	41	4,588
0.84	50	4,638
0.86	10	4,648
0.89	1,020	5,668
0.92	4,685	10,353
0.93	7	10,360
0.94	35,625	45,985
0.95	53,075	99,060
0.96	4,969	104,029

Spread0.04Mid0.72

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.70	9	9
0.68	5	14
0.67	50	64
0.66	50	114
0.63	23	137
0.62	11	148
0.61	50	198
0.51	60	258
0.50	60	318
0.38	9	327
0.21	40	367
0.20	301	668

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Wickier	Yes	8,586.37
NoSteinNoGate	Yes	756.52
tinman2	Yes	389.63
2B9S	Yes	374.73
0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05	Yes	145.45
Miguel262144	Yes	98.99
AJSV	Yes	95.09
PaddyAlpha	Yes	55
0x5437…895a	Yes	33.91
frenchflair3	Yes	26.26
0x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-1768052013112	Yes	19.99
S888	Yes	17.19
vortl	Yes	15.58
Avitz33	Yes	13
am85b	Yes	12.99
mangoking05	Yes	10
werpiu	Yes	9.52
Oolancer	Yes	6.67
gqj09t72s1vx	Yes	6
crossFiter	Yes	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:52:38	SELL	Yes	0.26	91	$23.57
20:30:54	BUY	Yes	0.29	6	$1.71
19:17:47	SELL	No	0.71	5	$3.55
19:15:36	SELL	Yes	0.28	5	$1.40
19:15:32	BUY	No	0.69	5	$3.45
19:14:20	SELL	No	0.71	5	$3.55
19:12:09	BUY	Yes	0.31	5	$1.55
19:12:05	BUY	No	0.69	5	$3.45
19:11:20	SELL	No	0.71	5	$3.55
19:09:09	BUY	Yes	0.32	5	$1.60
19:09:05	BUY	No	0.69	5	$3.45
19:08:14	SELL	No	0.71	5	$3.55
19:08:03	BUY	Yes	0.29	5	$1.45
19:05:50	SELL	Yes	0.27	5	$1.35
19:05:45	BUY	No	0.68	5	$3.40
19:04:54	SELL	No	0.71	5	$3.55
19:04:45	BUY	Yes	0.29	5	$1.45
19:02:35	SELL	Yes	0.27	5	$1.35
19:02:30	BUY	No	0.68	5	$3.40
19:01:39	SELL	No	0.71	5	$3.55
18:59:30	BUY	Yes	0.32	5	$1.60
18:59:26	BUY	No	0.68	5	$3.40
18:58:45	SELL	No	0.71	5	$3.55
18:58:36	BUY	Yes	0.29	5	$1.45
18:56:27	SELL	Yes	0.27	5	$1.35