0xef9fb7322631ecb96f40c7210006ccb4066d8924
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 1,303
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- CautionMarkets traded1,303
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.101Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?
- +$5.5kat 0.018Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.4kat 0.158U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$4.9kat 0.261Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$4.5kat 0.085US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 16:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.0482170628 | $67.00 |
| 11-02 15:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.047 | $26.32 |
| 11-01 13:36 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.031 | $0.03 |
| 11-01 13:31 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.031 | $2.05 |
| 11-01 13:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $10.22 |
| 11-01 07:22 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $20.72 |
| 11-01 07:21 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | SELL | 0.004 | $8.00 |
| 11-01 06:34 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.46 |
| 11-01 05:06 | Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.006 | $167.76 |
| 10-31 15:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $33.12 |
| 10-31 14:01 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.0773340186 | $34.72 |
| 10-31 09:29 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $29.67 |
| 10-29 13:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $39.80 |
| 10-29 11:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $11.82 |
| 10-28 09:20 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | SELL | 0.0593309 | $29.67 |