PolyBot

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Traders

S888

0x0711e162e05349de3d87626dea4285d08537f03c

Realised P&L
$15.2k
Volume
$1.94M
Markets traded
8,000
Open portfolio
$9.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,000
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? · No0.3750.745$241.22+$119.75
Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B? · No0.6490.965$236.78+$77.37
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8280.895$168.25+$12.55
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9230.983$165.65+$10.03
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9400.942$146.86+$0.27
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · No0.6910.855$137.76+$26.37
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31? · Yes0.7690.900$137.70+$20.09
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9590.975$136.43+$2.22
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? · No0.6940.875$131.27+$27.09
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.945$130.34$0.76
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · No0.5740.845$110.98+$35.62
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.8480.951$108.04+$11.68
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.8410.919$106.20+$9.07
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? · No0.8370.856$105.61+$2.25
Will Trump nationalize elections? · No0.6860.925$97.62+$25.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:38Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.58$12.18
09-17 03:39Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.59$16.52
09-17 03:38Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.08$6.40
09-17 03:16Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?SELL0.85$6.38
09-17 03:15US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?SELL0.19$1.85
09-17 03:15US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?SELL0.43$2.15
09-17 03:09Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?SELL0.85$4.25
09-16 21:03Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0215581092$1.32
09-16 20:53Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.03275$1.31
09-16 19:41Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.53$15.90
09-16 19:41Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0738221429$5.79
09-16 19:38Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.085$2.55
09-16 19:38Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0828429334$2.95
09-16 19:28Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.52$31.20
09-16 19:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.47$12.77