gqj09t72s1vx
0x302451630ce7b00af034d406a136b2fe87aeb91e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.12
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 279
- Open portfolio
- $10.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded279
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? · No | 0.360 | 0.560 | $3.11 | +$1.11 |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.230 | $2.56 | +$0.56 |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.805 | $1.81 | +$0.06 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.280 | $1.68 | +$0.12 |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.655 | $1.42 | −$0.58 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.004 | $0.23 | −$1.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.64at 0.063Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$10.80at 0.151US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$7.93at 0.207Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$5.14at 0.167Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$5.14at 0.167Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 23:37 | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.01 |
| 09-18 16:40 | Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 18:08 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 15:18 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 11:00 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 13:45 | Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 01:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.32 |
| 09-11 01:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.29 |
| 09-11 00:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.56 |
| 09-10 09:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.01 |
| 09-10 09:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.01 |
| 09-10 09:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.01 |
| 09-10 09:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.01 |
| 09-10 09:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.01 |
| 09-10 09:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.01 |