Miguel262144
0x2df5ad0f2612c7bcf5f87543e126e0aa351051ac
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $227.7k
- Markets traded
- 8,426
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,426
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$765.04at 0.102Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$665.98at 0.257Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
- +$518.70at 0.509Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$232.52at 0.391Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$210.48at 0.619Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:36 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.42 | $23.10 |
| 08-02 23:35 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.43 | $9.46 |
| 08-02 22:18 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.49 | $5.39 |
| 08-02 22:17 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.6 | $19.80 |
| 08-02 22:17 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.55 | $12.10 |
| 08-02 22:17 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.52 | $11.44 |
| 08-02 22:17 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.55 | $18.15 |
| 08-02 22:17 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.57 | $18.81 |
| 08-02 22:17 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.64 | $21.12 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.59 | $19.47 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.62 | $13.64 |
| 08-02 16:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.181 | $5.97 |
| 08-02 16:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.38 |
| 08-02 12:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.34 | $7.48 |
| 08-02 12:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.34 | $11.22 |