Miguel262144
0x2df5ad0f2612c7bcf5f87543e126e0aa351051ac
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $246.3k
- Markets traded
- 8,790
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,790
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$747.58at 0.105Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$665.99at 0.257Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
- +$518.71at 0.509Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$331.40at 0.008Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 14, 2026?
- +$218.78at 0.001Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:53 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.67 | $22.11 |
| 09-17 02:52 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.38 |
| 09-17 02:50 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.79 | $34.76 |
| 09-17 02:50 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.55 | $12.10 |
| 09-17 02:49 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.541 | $11.90 |
| 09-17 02:49 | Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.56 | $12.32 |
| 09-17 02:49 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.45 | $9.90 |
| 09-17 02:49 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.607 | $20.03 |
| 09-17 02:48 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.62 | $27.90 |
| 09-17 02:48 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.556 | $22.24 |
| 09-17 02:48 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.47 | $10.34 |
| 09-16 02:09 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.60 |
| 09-16 02:05 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.64 |
| 09-16 02:00 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.54 | $11.88 |
| 09-16 01:51 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.08 |