PolyBot

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Traders

2B9S

0x87650b9f63563f7c456d9bbcceee5f9faf06ed81

Realised P&L
$129.5k
Volume
$17.61M
Markets traded
45,348
Open portfolio
$54.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded45,348
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration70.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.512$12.6k+$12.4k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.162$4.0k+$3.8k
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.981$2.5k+$47.39
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.025$637.50+$442.20
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.1700.935$561.00+$459.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.1600.935$467.50+$387.50
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.3901.000$453.40+$276.49
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.018$437.50+$242.20
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.0800.841$420.50+$380.50
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.2200.930$372.20+$284.20
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.0360.989$284.89+$274.62
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.956$262.90+$177.65
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.0350.936$258.88+$249.13
Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.7000.990$247.74+$72.69
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.0610.771$228.34+$210.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:13Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?SELL0.526$2.63
09-17 16:13Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?SELL0.119$0.12
09-17 14:54Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?SELL0.434$2.17
09-17 14:54Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?SELL0.119$5.83
09-17 14:18Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?SELL0.117$11.70
09-17 13:50Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?SELL0.118$3.54
09-17 08:24Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?SELL0.113$5.65
09-17 05:26Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 25% or more?BUY0.16$3.20
09-17 03:40Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?SELL0.116$11.25
09-16 05:11Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.981$3.3k
09-14 04:57Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15?BUY0.81$16.20
09-11 16:17Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.985$118.08
09-11 15:34Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.985$3.7k
09-10 16:28LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.3$3.30
09-10 07:38LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL0.11$7.92