mangoking05
0x442c533dd1bebea3f670185a6a6c091dee243db8
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $557.6k
- Markets traded
- 7,966
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,966
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$596.56at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$523.53at 0.341Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
- +$508.86at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$500.38at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$486.12at 0.576Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:08 | Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.83 |
| 08-02 21:37 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 21:34 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.70 |
| 08-02 21:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 08-02 21:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | BUY | 0.89 | $9.79 |
| 08-02 21:02 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.63 | $10.08 |
| 08-02 20:54 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.01 |
| 08-02 15:00 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 08-02 14:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.806 | $4.84 |
| 08-02 13:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.719999808 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 13:32 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $8.12 |
| 08-02 13:31 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 08-02 01:55 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.13 |
| 08-02 01:49 | Israel military action against Yemen by August 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $15.13 |
| 08-02 01:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.92 | $9.20 |