PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

am85b

0x7021b45dceabca5d268ba54e5e0b5844084eb9bc

Realised P&L
$-1.30
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$514.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.845$50.34+$0.89
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.7100.735$40.15+$1.37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7100.715$31.68+$0.22
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.855$29.83+$0.87
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8410.845$28.32+$0.13
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5970.542$24.30$2.45
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6000.655$22.56+$1.89
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.5000.505$17.74+$0.18
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6900.715$17.05+$0.60
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5770.594$16.61+$0.46
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.550$13.26+$0.00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.1500.145$12.55$0.43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.8000.875$11.19+$0.96
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0700.065$11.18$0.86
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0790.069$10.66$1.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 21:43US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.33$1.99
09-21 21:43US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.15$1.01
09-21 21:43Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.134$1.11
09-21 21:43Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0096195034$1.29
09-21 21:432026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.08$4.01
09-21 21:43Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.011$0.98
09-21 21:43Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.07$12.04
09-21 21:43Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.79$4.34
09-21 21:43Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.381$2.55
09-21 21:43Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.173$10.58
09-21 21:43Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.018$1.93
09-21 21:43Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.116$2.17
09-21 21:43Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.07$1.23
09-21 21:43US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.15$12.98
09-21 21:43Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.031$0.96