PolyBot

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Traders

Avitz33

0x7a90bfdb1c7bbb30ab19fdd48a6b49dede972ff9

Realised P&L
$12.5k
Volume
$805.0k
Markets traded
1,227
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,227
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No0.4530.855$1.4k+$651.72
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.3530.335$515.02$28.43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1710.171$256.23$1.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes0.3780.305$152.50$36.50
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.2730.145$94.43$83.21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$93.50$25.50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1300.075$90.00$66.00
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? · Yes0.2160.115$82.77$72.89
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes0.1590.115$80.50$30.50
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.0700.095$75.43+$19.85
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.0900.065$71.78$27.61
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1600.215$64.50+$16.50
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1600.145$58.00$6.00
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · No0.0660.070$52.00+$2.95
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · No0.3300.835$48.11+$29.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:27Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.0741948098$25.05
09-16 16:30Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?BUY0.19$1.55
09-16 16:30Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2$4.00
09-15 20:33Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.053$30.63
09-15 15:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.49$49.00
09-15 15:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.28$84.00
09-15 14:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.0198069498$1.23
09-15 14:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.0178329381$3.31
09-15 07:49Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.77$241.68
09-14 21:33NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?BUY0.8399892194$132.46
09-14 21:20US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.0362591419$69.11
09-14 17:55US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.059$47.62
09-14 17:02Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.07$54.04
09-13 16:44Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.36$193.46
09-12 20:42Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026?BUY0.1581372549$32.26