frenchflair3
0xbe6d26b50b6634d3a0e7060557655ddfce80fb55
- Realised P&L
- $-23.35
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $117.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.22at 0.635Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$16.31at 0.596Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
- +$8.50at 0.850Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
- +$6.37at 0.842Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.07at 0.920US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 21:04 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 10-16 03:57 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $6.84 |
| 10-15 01:06 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999949 | $5.60 |
| 10-14 14:15 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999988 | $3.04 |
| 10-14 02:31 | Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.92 |
| 10-09 00:51 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.907999998 | $18.26 |
| 10-09 00:10 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.4519999941 | $14.73 |
| 10-04 20:46 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.92 | $33.48 |
| 10-04 20:45 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.85 | $11.90 |
| 10-04 20:45 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.89 | $19.58 |
| 10-04 02:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.5499999918 | $20.16 |
| 10-04 02:08 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.44 | $16.72 |
| 10-03 20:48 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5999999948 | $23.18 |
| 10-02 18:48 | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.807231711 | $29.16 |
| 10-02 18:48 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $39.84 |