werpiu
0x1b470e5e69ad52260421bc4ed2379619ca23fdfb
- Realised P&L
- $-2.51
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $11.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.17at 0.308Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$1.97at 0.064Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10?
- +$1.83at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$1.43at 0.417Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$1.27at 0.570Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 09:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.86 |
| 09-12 11:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 15? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 11:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 13? | BUY | 0.0669999961 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 11:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 14? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 10:57 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 04:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 19:47 | Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.52 |
| 09-11 18:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 14? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.57 |
| 09-11 18:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 14? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.06 |
| 09-11 18:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 13? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.31 |
| 09-11 15:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 14:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 13? | BUY | 0.0909090909 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 14:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 14? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 14:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 14? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 14:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.0819999997 | $1.00 |