PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

PaddyAlpha

0x9ad091ca2e8f1bd69f27662edcb49dceeaa5bf3d

Realised P&L
$39.2k
Volume
$23.55M
Markets traded
2,606
Open portfolio
$89.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,606
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9820.982$3.9k$3.61
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6680.608$2.7k$267.88
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.6490.595$1.9k$172.24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4520.375$1.8k$380.87
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026? · No0.7040.947$1.6k+$422.39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.8720.935$1.6k+$108.67
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No0.9490.952$1.5k+$4.47
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? · No0.8530.780$1.4k$131.45
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7400.855$1.3k+$177.93
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · No0.8250.983$1.3k+$202.95
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No0.5600.933$1.2k+$481.86
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9060.962$1.2k+$68.32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8420.835$1.1k$9.90
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3870.325$1.1k$202.96
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9110.958$1.0k+$49.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:20Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?BUY0.81$64.80
09-17 02:50Will Muse be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?SELL0.3566666667$21.40
09-17 02:47Will TikTok Pro - Events be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.09$1.80
09-17 02:41Will Google Gemini be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.25$73.75
09-17 02:37Will Muse be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.2924528302$62.00
09-17 02:11Perfect Order Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $121.84 on September 30?BUY0.34$10.23
09-17 02:04Perfect Order Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $121.84 on September 30?BUY0.32$9.60
09-17 01:43Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?SELL0.07$5.60
09-16 11:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.15$0.78
09-16 11:19France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$19.00
09-16 10:56France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.95$19.00
09-16 10:56France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.945$37.80
09-16 10:46France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$35.18
09-16 10:46France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8426143791$257.84
09-16 10:45France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9455220539$126.69