PaddyAlpha
0x9ad091ca2e8f1bd69f27662edcb49dceeaa5bf3d
- Realised P&L
- $39.2k
- Volume
- $23.55M
- Markets traded
- 2,606
- Open portfolio
- $89.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,606
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.9kat 0.998US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$5.0kat 0.016Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$4.4kat 0.990US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.9kat 0.729Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1 AM ET
- +$3.3kat 0.909US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:20 | Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | BUY | 0.81 | $64.80 |
| 09-17 02:50 | Will Muse be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | SELL | 0.3566666667 | $21.40 |
| 09-17 02:47 | Will TikTok Pro - Events be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-17 02:41 | Will Google Gemini be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.25 | $73.75 |
| 09-17 02:37 | Will Muse be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.2924528302 | $62.00 |
| 09-17 02:11 | Perfect Order Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $121.84 on September 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $10.23 |
| 09-17 02:04 | Perfect Order Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $121.84 on September 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 09-17 01:43 | Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $5.60 |
| 09-16 11:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.78 |
| 09-16 11:19 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-16 10:56 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-16 10:56 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.945 | $37.80 |
| 09-16 10:46 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $35.18 |
| 09-16 10:46 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8426143791 | $257.84 |
| 09-16 10:45 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9455220539 | $126.69 |