PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PaddyAlpha

0x9ad091ca2e8f1bd69f27662edcb49dceeaa5bf3d

Realised P&L
$52.4k
Volume
$21.69M
Markets traded
2,304
Open portfolio
$81.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,304
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9070.925$4.0k+$74.67
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9800.981$3.0k+$1.86
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8260.795$2.0k$80.58
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026? · No0.7840.958$1.9k+$343.77
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No0.9500.967$1.5k+$25.74
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.7700.975$1.4k+$294.37
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · No0.9840.988$1.3k+$5.37
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.9420.982$1.3k+$50.71
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4430.620$1.2k+$334.30
Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? · No0.8320.875$1.1k+$55.24
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No0.4850.928$1.1k+$523.65
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.6310.735$1.1k+$152.23
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.8810.925$1.0k+$48.09
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9110.960$1.0k+$51.19
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9840.985$989.60+$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 07:54Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.026$5.20
08-01 17:20US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.11$22.55
08-01 17:07Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.61$6.10
08-01 16:59Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.67$10.00
08-01 14:57Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?BUY0.734$3.67
08-01 14:52Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?BUY0.04925$9.85
08-01 14:52Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?BUY0.03865625$12.37
08-01 13:58Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?SELL0.665$33.25
08-01 12:33Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.762$41.91
08-01 12:30Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?SELL0.761$7.61
08-01 12:19Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.24$13.20
08-01 12:09Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.29$1.13
08-01 12:08Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.284641875$45.54
08-01 12:08Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2660415385$34.59
08-01 11:54Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00