PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PaddyAlpha

0x9ad091ca2e8f1bd69f27662edcb49dceeaa5bf3d

Realised P&L
$56.8k
Volume
$25.11M
Markets traded
2,785
Open portfolio
$89.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,785
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No0.9690.984$3.4k+$50.21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4430.414$2.9k−$197.10
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8570.865$1.9k+$17.02
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8720.875$1.5k+$4.98
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · No0.9030.946$1.5k+$67.64
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No0.9490.950$1.5k+$1.34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9830.980$1.5k−$5.66
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? · No0.8500.736$1.4k−$209.69
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8330.825$1.3k−$11.88
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes0.6670.750$1.2k+$134.32
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2340.205$1.2k−$164.40
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.9150.915$1.1k−$0.10
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9811.000$999.50+$18.77
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · No0.9670.960$974.72−$6.63
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8890.930$924.96+$40.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 12:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.417$27.99
11-01 12:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?SELL0.0245$0.98
11-01 06:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?BUY0.06$2.40
10-31 20:10Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.043$3.70
10-31 19:10Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9799578789$814.05
10-31 19:09Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9648519122$260.62
10-31 18:04Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by November 30?BUY0.581988368$117.08
10-31 16:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?BUY0.08$5.76
10-31 16:14Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.491$232.70
10-31 16:13Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4896$24.48
10-31 13:55Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?BUY0.35$16.37
10-31 13:53Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30?BUY0.72$204.48
10-31 13:47Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30?BUY0.72$224.53
10-31 13:39Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by November 30?BUY0.7137888199$186.17
10-31 13:26Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?SELL0.28$11.85