PaddyAlpha
0x9ad091ca2e8f1bd69f27662edcb49dceeaa5bf3d
- Realised P&L
- $56.8k
- Volume
- $25.11M
- Markets traded
- 2,785
- Open portfolio
- $89.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,785
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.9kat 0.998US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$4.4kat 0.990US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.9kat 0.729Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1 AM ET
- +$3.6kat 0.415US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.3kat 0.909US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.417 | $27.99 |
| 11-01 12:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.0245 | $0.98 |
| 11-01 06:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.40 |
| 10-31 20:10 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.043 | $3.70 |
| 10-31 19:10 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9799578789 | $814.05 |
| 10-31 19:09 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9648519122 | $260.62 |
| 10-31 18:04 | Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by November 30? | BUY | 0.581988368 | $117.08 |
| 10-31 16:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.76 |
| 10-31 16:14 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.491 | $232.70 |
| 10-31 16:13 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4896 | $24.48 |
| 10-31 13:55 | Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $16.37 |
| 10-31 13:53 | Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30? | BUY | 0.72 | $204.48 |
| 10-31 13:47 | Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30? | BUY | 0.72 | $224.53 |
| 10-31 13:39 | Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by November 30? | BUY | 0.7137888199 | $186.17 |
| 10-31 13:26 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.28 | $11.85 |