0x8542adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b
0xe234959595e01dacd391a9502a6ad0edf4e3304a
- Realised P&L
- $137.9k
- Volume
- $20.94M
- Markets traded
- 418
- Open portfolio
- $168.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded418
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.9kat 0.906US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$37.1kat 0.675Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$28.6kat 0.993US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$15.9kat 0.030Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$14.4kat 0.045Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.009 | $73.62 |
| 09-15 19:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $110.00 |
| 09-15 19:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $110.00 |
| 09-15 19:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $110.00 |
| 09-15 19:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $759.28 |
| 09-15 19:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.5k |
| 09-15 19:07 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.7101339226 | $395.25 |
| 09-15 19:02 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.751 | $3.75 |
| 09-15 19:01 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.7501820935 | $463.18 |
| 09-15 18:33 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-15 18:22 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.4k |
| 09-15 18:14 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 09-15 18:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.5k |
| 09-15 18:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.58 |
| 09-15 18:04 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.317046889 | $1.7k |