0x696de7b6e43f45378f60402b9fccff9c7484f89
0xe234959595e01dacd391a9502a6ad0edf4e3304a
- Realised P&L
- $78.2k
- Volume
- $12.99M
- Markets traded
- 248
- Open portfolio
- $199.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded248
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.9kat 0.906US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$28.6kat 0.993US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$15.9kat 0.030Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$14.4kat 0.045Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
- +$13.0kat 0.256Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:19 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.70 |
| 08-02 22:19 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.0k |
| 08-02 22:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.88 | $193.23 |
| 08-02 22:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.55484275 | $2.2k |
| 08-02 22:13 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.8849716205 | $2.5k |
| 08-02 22:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.9 | $729.73 |
| 08-02 22:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.9063632764 | $2.3k |
| 08-02 21:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $264.52 |
| 08-02 21:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.9180256747 | $5.8k |
| 08-02 21:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.6781561818 | $4.2k |
| 08-02 21:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.771828121 | $1.7k |
| 08-02 21:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.9851591173 | $1.7k |
| 08-02 21:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.9906422502 | $2.8k |
| 08-02 21:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6797829587 | $1.8k |
| 08-02 21:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5907657856 | $2.0k |