PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x696de7b6e43f45378f60402b9fccff9c7484f89

0xe234959595e01dacd391a9502a6ad0edf4e3304a

Realised P&L
$78.2k
Volume
$12.99M
Markets traded
248
Open portfolio
$199.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded248
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$47.5k+$17.6k
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5720.635$12.7k+$1.3k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$12.4k$17.6k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.0930.135$12.2k+$3.7k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.9830.981$9.2k$21.22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.9900.987$8.9k$28.03
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4470.445$8.9k$41.82
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9620.974$7.8k+$93.27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2000.205$6.9k+$169.51
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.5820.655$6.5k+$729.66
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.9030.880$6.2k$160.07
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.4210.535$5.0k+$1.1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.1980.225$4.5k+$537.11
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8600.875$4.4k+$75.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4310.415$3.8k$152.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2$3.70
08-02 22:19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2$6.0k
08-02 22:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.88$193.23
08-02 22:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.55484275$2.2k
08-02 22:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.8849716205$2.5k
08-02 22:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.9$729.73
08-02 22:04Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.9063632764$2.3k
08-02 21:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.997$264.52
08-02 21:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.9180256747$5.8k
08-02 21:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.6781561818$4.2k
08-02 21:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.771828121$1.7k
08-02 21:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.9851591173$1.7k
08-02 21:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.9906422502$2.8k
08-02 21:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6797829587$1.8k
08-02 21:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5907657856$2.0k