NoSteinNoGate
0xff7ca9cd180d33119e653e3eb50555a3e2ccb233
- Realised P&L
- $49.7k
- Volume
- $5.99M
- Markets traded
- 2,392
- Open portfolio
- $28.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,392
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.379Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.199US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.420US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$1.8kat 0.433Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.459Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | SELL | 0.69 | $20.70 |
| 08-02 22:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | SELL | 0.16 | $64.95 |
| 08-02 22:36 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $48.60 |
| 08-02 22:34 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 22:34 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 22:33 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 22:33 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 22:33 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 08-02 22:33 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $9.89 |
| 08-02 22:33 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $52.12 |
| 08-02 22:32 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.1261632516 | $29.99 |
| 08-02 22:26 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.59 | $787.43 |
| 08-02 22:20 | Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $117.60 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $16.97 |
| 08-02 21:56 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.20 |