0xff7ca9cd180d33119e653e3eb50555a3e2ccb233
0xff7ca9cd180d33119e653e3eb50555a3e2ccb233
- Realised P&L
- $61.3k
- Volume
- $8.50M
- Markets traded
- 3,144
- Open portfolio
- $47.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,144
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.379Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.199US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.420US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$1.8kat 0.433Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.459Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $207.34 |
| 11-01 20:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.3k |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $56.25 |
| 11-01 18:49 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.0602019409 | $62.90 |
| 11-01 18:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | SELL | 0.25 | $66.78 |
| 11-01 14:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $112.43 |
| 11-01 14:22 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $178.51 |
| 11-01 14:22 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027? | BUY | 0.6366795805 | $190.63 |
| 11-01 14:04 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | BUY | 0.6475457806 | $68.60 |
| 11-01 13:55 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $32.40 |
| 11-01 13:49 | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $69.38 |
| 11-01 13:47 | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $208.14 |
| 11-01 13:42 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.21 |
| 11-01 13:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.044 | $30.75 |
| 11-01 12:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | BUY | 0.014 | $24.08 |