0x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-1768052013112
0x86dd5200572b3eae548d8fd9e807b78468d41af2
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $521.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,141
- Open portfolio
- $457.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,141
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.87at 0.540Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
- +$31.04at 0.446Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?
- +$30.31at 0.232Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
- +$30.16at 0.293Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?
- +$23.49at 0.670Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:29 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.731 | $7.31 |
| 08-03 06:08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in August? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 02:24 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 22:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 08-02 18:13 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.769452 | $7.69 |
| 08-02 17:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | SELL | 0.5314714715 | $10.62 |
| 08-02 14:27 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.579 | $5.78 |
| 08-02 10:53 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.199 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 08:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 08-02 07:27 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.46 |
| 08-02 05:03 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 08-02 04:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $7.87 |
| 08-02 04:27 | Will Trump say "Antifa" in August? | SELL | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 08-02 04:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.11 |
| 08-02 03:10 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |