0x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-1768052013112
0x86dd5200572b3eae548d8fd9e807b78468d41af2
- Realised P&L
- $594.36
- Volume
- $664.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,814
- Open portfolio
- $627.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,814
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.87at 0.668Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
- +$32.87at 0.540Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
- +$31.04at 0.446Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?
- +$30.21at 0.232Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
- +$30.16at 0.293Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:47 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 17:20 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 11-01 11:30 | Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 01:36 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 10-31 17:17 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.63 | $4.27 |
| 10-31 08:10 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 10-30 23:32 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 10-30 17:11 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 10-30 16:43 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 10-29 19:24 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 10-29 17:46 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.57 |
| 10-29 17:34 | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 10-29 12:59 | Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 10-29 12:25 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 10-29 12:08 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |