Wickier
0x1cc16713196d456f86fa9c7387dd326a7f73b8df
- Realised P&L
- $1.24M
- Volume
- $24.44M
- Markets traded
- 989
- Open portfolio
- $8.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded989
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$536.6kat 0.133US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$264.6kat 0.081Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$207.4kat 0.029Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$89.6kat 0.566Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$88.5kat 0.182US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:08 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4984856795 | $1.2k |
| 09-14 14:41 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2040350187 | $103.71 |
| 09-13 15:22 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.66 | $5.9k |
| 09-12 16:53 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1381799591 | $33.78 |
| 09-12 11:00 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.6927527044 | $14.0k |
| 09-11 13:45 | Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $68.00 |
| 09-11 11:27 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2998814229 | $758.70 |
| 09-07 20:58 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2205660377 | $1.2k |
| 09-07 05:10 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $11.5k |
| 09-06 16:21 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.40 |
| 09-06 16:21 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 09-03 05:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3260850546 | $887.07 |
| 09-02 20:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3025998696 | $375.79 |
| 08-28 09:09 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0243347369 | $307.29 |
| 08-25 20:01 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1382884523 | $2.0k |