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Traders

tinman2

0x9baebe30d1cefe0ac5be4be85189c9fa33e95d34

Realised P&L
$13.6k
Volume
$1.87M
Markets traded
1,807
Open portfolio
$32.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,807
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8750.914$4.3k+$180.14
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · No0.6170.304$3.3k−$3.4k
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? · Yes0.9600.975$1.9k+$29.11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6530.650$1.2k−$6.37
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8730.145$995.61−$5.0k
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · No0.3740.275$953.08−$343.07
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.6090.967$949.70+$351.18
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · Yes0.9000.935$935.00+$35.00
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · No0.7580.899$916.98+$143.82
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.7100.735$888.11+$30.21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.7170.846$879.32+$133.32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8090.705$766.57−$113.29
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6860.635$764.67−$61.54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.9380.991$740.81+$39.32
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.4170.845$633.34+$320.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:10Vikings vs. LionsBUY0.27$135.00
11-01 17:17Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?BUY0.31$11.78
11-01 17:17Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.315$34.65
11-01 15:58Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.19$19.00
11-01 15:58Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.19$19.00
11-01 15:24Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.19$19.00
11-01 14:52Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.19$19.00
10-31 23:13Will Josh Jacobs have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.913$70.81
10-31 23:13Will Josh Jacobs have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.913$9.13
10-31 23:13Will Josh Jacobs have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.913$9.13
10-31 23:13Will Josh Jacobs have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.913$9.13
10-31 17:01TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.99$95.04
10-31 17:01A.J. Brown: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.9895049505$99.94
10-31 04:52US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?BUY0.9$900.00
10-31 04:52US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.9679043742$181.89
Trader tinman2 · PolyBot Pro