PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tinman2

0x9baebe30d1cefe0ac5be4be85189c9fa33e95d34

Realised P&L
$10.5k
Volume
$1.68M
Markets traded
1,563
Open portfolio
$22.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,563
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8790.855$3.8k$106.70
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.525$1.1k+$575.71
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.7100.695$1.0k$21.87
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.6090.954$936.93+$338.41
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.7170.839$872.04+$126.04
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · No0.7580.839$855.27+$82.11
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · No0.5850.815$815.00+$230.19
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? · Yes0.6570.734$734.00+$77.15
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.4930.660$660.00+$166.67
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.4200.494$494.00+$74.00
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · Yes0.5340.240$401.83$493.18
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? · No0.8650.870$391.50+$2.32
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.4170.515$386.00+$73.60
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8730.055$382.04$5.7k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · No0.4080.315$315.00$92.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:39Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.35$1.75
09-16 19:18Seahawks Team Total: O/U 20.5BUY0.48$2.40
09-16 18:00Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.2223214245$96.64
09-16 18:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.4077539$407.75
09-16 18:00Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.713$62.79
09-16 18:00Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?BUY0.98$0.31
09-16 18:00Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.5848082$584.81
09-16 18:00Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?BUY0.6568452$656.85
09-16 18:00Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.2761698041$7.19
09-16 18:00Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.49333$493.33
09-16 18:00Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.42$420.00
09-16 18:00Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.36$360.00
09-16 16:37Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?BUY0.13$5.86
09-16 15:47Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.504$25.20
09-15 21:58Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?BUY0.13$6.50