tinman2
0x9baebe30d1cefe0ac5be4be85189c9fa33e95d34
- Realised P&L
- $13.6k
- Volume
- $1.87M
- Markets traded
- 1,807
- Open portfolio
- $32.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,807
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.1kat 0.690Will Biden finish his term?
- +$5.9kat 0.329Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$5.0kat 0.695Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?
- +$3.5kat 0.587US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.647Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:10 | Vikings vs. Lions | BUY | 0.27 | $135.00 |
| 11-01 17:17 | Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.31 | $11.78 |
| 11-01 17:17 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.315 | $34.65 |
| 11-01 15:58 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 11-01 15:58 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 11-01 15:24 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 11-01 14:52 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 10-31 23:13 | Will Josh Jacobs have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.913 | $70.81 |
| 10-31 23:13 | Will Josh Jacobs have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.913 | $9.13 |
| 10-31 23:13 | Will Josh Jacobs have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.913 | $9.13 |
| 10-31 23:13 | Will Josh Jacobs have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.913 | $9.13 |
| 10-31 17:01 | TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.99 | $95.04 |
| 10-31 17:01 | A.J. Brown: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.9895049505 | $99.94 |
| 10-31 04:52 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.9 | $900.00 |
| 10-31 04:52 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.9679043742 | $181.89 |