PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xtxpleasecallme

0xad5353afe30c2da57709e2704ef3ccdcf67eef24

Realised P&L
$270.9k
Volume
$33.17M
Markets traded
116,011
Open portfolio
$538.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded116,011
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Canza FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.2720.615$657.12+$366.21
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw? · Yes0.9960.995$499.46−$0.50
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 · Under0.9990.995$498.05−$1.95
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.9990.995$498.00−$2.00
Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 3 - 3 CA Osasuna? · No0.9930.993$496.50+$0.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · No0.7360.745$450.55+$5.28
Will "How to Write a Song About You" from Power Ballad be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3050.660$450.31+$242.11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.1320.125$448.09−$24.43
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? · Anduril0.5820.405$414.70−$181.24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6680.725$399.44+$31.53
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? · Yes0.1940.140$398.26−$152.22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? · No0.7770.765$363.89−$5.71
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.0730.200$350.59+$221.82
Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.2700.405$340.31+$113.72
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? · No0.2720.410$339.86+$114.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 17:11Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Indonesia this month?BUY0.39$8.19
11-02 17:11Will "The Dreamed Adventure" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.7$3.50
11-02 17:11Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.31$1.55
11-02 17:11Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 20%-25%?BUY0.7199999942$20.00
11-02 17:11Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?BUY0.3$24.00
11-02 17:10Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?BUY0.019$0.95
11-02 17:10Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $308,000 and $313,000 on December 31?BUY0.892$4.46
11-02 17:10Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 0%-3%?BUY0.06$0.36
11-02 17:10Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% before 2027?BUY0.09$2.81
11-02 17:10Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 20%-25%?BUY0.25$37.25
11-02 17:09Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15?BUY0.1$2.30
11-02 17:09Will FC Altai be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?BUY0.055$3.59
11-02 17:09Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$3.90
11-02 17:08Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?BUY0.899$24.35
11-02 17:08Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?BUY0.446$2.23