PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.994. up 0.012 over the period, from 0.982. Range 0.972 to 0.997. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9972020
0.998800820
0.999179999

Spread0.006Mid0.994

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9912020
0.9792040
0.975118158
0.974113271
0.973500771
0.9721,0001,771
0.9704002,171
0.962652,236
0.961502,286
0.9602,0004,286
0.955824,368
0.9542044,572

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0092020
0.0212040
0.025118158
0.026113271
0.027500771
0.0281,0001,771
0.0304002,171
0.038652,236
0.039502,286
0.0402,0004,286
0.045824,368
0.0462044,572

Spread0.006Mid0.006

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0032020
0.002800820
0.001179999

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430Yes2,953.13
Ryxon21Yes1,039.82
nicoco89Yes322.98
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes160
qhome12Yes125
immanuelcanYes50
cigarettesYes50
Elias.ThornwellYes43.56
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes31
e46m3Yes22.79
0xa2fc…e3ecYes9.46
0xe72c…d3ebYes7.47
qcp1Yes6.6
0x16e9…f91bYes5.18
yummyummyummyYes2.45
p44srbf9g258Yes2.2
AssuraYes2
pxb96v3clwtiYes1.6
moerz8swipuoYes1.17
0x2a15…f2a3Yes1.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:11:45BUYNo0.02850$1.40
14:49:35BUYNo0.02725$0.68
08:27:08BUYNo0.0233$0.66
08:27:05BUYNo0.02120$0.42
08:08:49SELLYes0.9676$5.80
08:06:54BUYYes0.9872$1.97
16:21:54SELLYes0.9665$5.29
13:49:33SELLNo0.00210$0.02
19:05:52SELLYes0.961629032311$10.14
16:08:52SELLNo0.021250$1.06
04:07:52SELLYes0.9765$5.24
13:42:19SELLYes0.9761$0.98
15:45:04BUYYes0.97610$9.75
15:36:33BUYYes0.97713$12.51
12:25:22SELLNo0.021621$13.05
15:24:58SELLNo0.02210$0.22
02:09:50SELLNo0.02415$0.36
02:08:29SELLNo0.02440$0.96
09:28:02SELLNo0.02420$0.48
08:55:09SELLYes0.95313$12.08
06:29:54BUYNo0.024243$5.84
06:25:30SELLNo0.03710$0.37
21:02:36SELLNo0.037650$1.88
19:27:30SELLNo0.0408747540$1.63
19:27:23SELLNo0.04120$0.82