e46m3
0x4f1d5ae26fc31472966e951af3183308736d8de2
- Realised P&L
- $986.3k
- Volume
- $22.55M
- Markets traded
- 60,305
- Open portfolio
- $66.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded60,305
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$177.4kat 0.235Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$106.5kat 0.047Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$68.8kat 0.313Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$61.0kat 0.048Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$54.2kat 0.982Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 13:57 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + Labour? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.02 |
| 11-02 13:57 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.02 |
| 11-02 13:53 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 11-02 13:53 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $23.67 |
| 11-02 13:50 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 11-02 13:50 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 11-02 13:50 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 11-02 13:50 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 11-02 13:50 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 11-02 13:50 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 11-02 13:49 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.1508399832 | $21.55 |
| 11-02 13:49 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 11-02 13:49 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 11-02 13:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.89 | $62.33 |
| 11-02 13:34 | Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.99 |