PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

e46m3

0x4f1d5ae26fc31472966e951af3183308736d8de2

Realised P&L
$986.3k
Volume
$22.55M
Markets traded
60,305
Open portfolio
$66.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded60,305
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.6780.725$9.2k+$595.62
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4090.715$5.8k+$2.5k
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.6300.718$3.9k+$472.58
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.2890.278$3.3k−$136.02
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.9930.960$2.7k−$94.38
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: Neither team to score first? · No0.9230.940$2.0k+$36.13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2700.225$1.9k−$380.91
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.6650.580$1.6k−$237.17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.3710.430$1.2k+$166.05
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.2660.265$1.0k−$2.33
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0330.700$727.50+$692.85
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · No0.9820.983$589.80+$0.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on November 2? · Yes0.0910.495$562.98+$459.59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 2? · Yes0.0910.476$541.37+$437.98
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.225$535.42+$469.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 13:57Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + Labour?BUY0.998$7.02
11-02 13:57Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF?BUY0.999$7.02
11-02 13:53Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.001$0.03
11-02 13:53Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.82$23.67
11-02 13:50Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.001$0.02
11-02 13:50Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.001$0.01
11-02 13:50Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.001$0.02
11-02 13:50Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.001$0.01
11-02 13:50Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.003$0.02
11-02 13:50Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.001$0.01
11-02 13:49Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.1508399832$21.55
11-02 13:49Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.001$0.01
11-02 13:49Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.001$0.01
11-02 13:38Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 3?BUY0.89$62.33
11-02 13:34Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?BUY0.999$30.99