e46m3
0x4f1d5ae26fc31472966e951af3183308736d8de2
- Realised P&L
- $212.1k
- Volume
- $15.35M
- Markets traded
- 26,464
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded26,464
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.2kat 0.015Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$43.7kat 0.245Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$42.3kat 0.010Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$39.3kat 0.987Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$38.8kat 0.059Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:30 | Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $3.5k |
| 08-02 18:30 | Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $2.9k |
| 07-30 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.6727843378 | $5.38 |
| 07-30 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $7.96 |
| 07-30 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.84 |
| 07-30 18:16 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0719999631 | $1.78 |
| 07-30 18:15 | Will ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8650383422 | $118.38 |
| 07-30 18:15 | Will ÍF Vestri win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.9735068016 | $329.36 |
| 07-30 18:15 | Will ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7463087248 | $22.24 |
| 07-30 18:15 | MOUZ to win 2-0? | BUY | 0.9299999961 | $11.90 |
| 07-30 18:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.73 |
| 07-30 18:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.6699999191 | $1.16 |
| 07-30 18:11 | Exact Score: ÍF Vestri 2 - 0 FK Rīgas Futbola Skola? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 07-30 18:11 | Exact Score: ÍF Vestri 0 - 1 FK Rīgas Futbola Skola? | BUY | 0.924 | $4.62 |
| 07-30 18:11 | Exact Score: ÍF Vestri 0 - 0 FK Rīgas Futbola Skola? | BUY | 0.975 | $4.87 |