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Traders

e46m3

0x4f1d5ae26fc31472966e951af3183308736d8de2

Realised P&L
$1.48M
Volume
$17.88M
Markets traded
44,190
Open portfolio
$46.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded44,190
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4740.595$4.6k+$935.06
Juventus FC vs. NEC: O/U 0.5 · Over0.9721.000$2.9k+$79.94
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3600.305$2.2k$399.79
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0340.955$1.7k+$1.6k
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 18? · Yes0.0910.675$1.6k+$1.4k
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9920.986$1.5k$9.85
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9160.974$1.4k+$84.87
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No0.8560.928$946.55+$73.16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? · Yes0.9840.999$912.02+$13.28
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1200.105$781.21$109.86
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 18? · Yes0.0910.275$642.55+$430.14
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.9900.990$548.71$0.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 19? · Yes0.9830.998$443.52+$6.32
Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 0.5 · Over0.9721.000$431.80+$11.90
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.2130.485$387.69+$217.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:06Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 18?BUY0.88$4.40
09-17 21:06Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 18?BUY0.84$4.20
09-17 21:05Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.999$26.96
09-17 21:05Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.999$5.74
09-17 21:05Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 18?BUY0.998$32.68
09-17 21:05Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 18?BUY0.87$28.49
09-17 21:03Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9$7.20
09-17 21:03Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.996$7.97
09-17 20:55Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.84$8.18
09-17 20:55Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.996$9.70
09-17 20:52Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.58$2.90
09-17 20:52Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.953$4.76
09-17 20:49Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be less than 1,500,000?BUY0.996$19.95
09-17 20:49Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?BUY0.96$19.23
09-17 20:49Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?BUY0.999$20.01
Trader e46m3 · PolyBot Pro