PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

e46m3

0x4f1d5ae26fc31472966e951af3183308736d8de2

Realised P&L
$212.1k
Volume
$15.35M
Markets traded
26,464
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded26,464
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Neither team to score first? · No0.9500.855$136.80$15.20
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0530.190$81.03+$58.52
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 · Under0.3850.684$78.80+$34.44
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 · Over0.3350.615$73.91+$33.65
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31? · No0.9600.675$51.89$21.91
Will Rodri join Barcelona? · Yes0.0630.057$34.66$3.68
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · No0.5000.565$34.33+$3.94
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? · No0.4960.745$29.05+$9.71
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? · Yes0.0500.829$25.15+$23.63
Will Kawhi play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes0.0300.041$25.06+$6.54
Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain? · Yes0.0630.031$19.79$20.11
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? · No0.7200.825$18.97+$2.41
Will Bradley Beal play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? · Yes0.0300.455$15.02+$14.02
Will Brent Bien win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.0320.023$14.71$5.92
Will Bradley Beal play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27? · Yes0.0300.440$14.52+$13.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:30Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5BUY0.59$3.5k
08-02 18:30Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5BUY0.51$2.9k
07-30 18:17Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?BUY0.6727843378$5.38
07-30 18:17Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 31?BUY0.995$7.96
07-30 18:17Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 31?BUY0.98$7.84
07-30 18:16Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.0719999631$1.78
07-30 18:15Will ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola end in a draw?BUY0.8650383422$118.38
07-30 18:15Will ÍF Vestri win on 2026-07-30?BUY0.9735068016$329.36
07-30 18:15Will ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola end in a draw?BUY0.7463087248$22.24
07-30 18:15MOUZ to win 2-0?BUY0.9299999961$11.90
07-30 18:12Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 31?BUY0.998$1.73
07-30 18:12Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?BUY0.6699999191$1.16
07-30 18:11Exact Score: ÍF Vestri 2 - 0 FK Rīgas Futbola Skola?BUY0.995$4.97
07-30 18:11Exact Score: ÍF Vestri 0 - 1 FK Rīgas Futbola Skola?BUY0.924$4.62
07-30 18:11Exact Score: ÍF Vestri 0 - 0 FK Rīgas Futbola Skola?BUY0.975$4.87