PolyBot

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Traders

0xe72ca4c55b6aca03da3c55b570c7224ee9b8d3eb

Realised P&L
$36.63
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$125.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? · No0.1881.000$22.61+$18.36
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? · Yes0.9000.978$13.13+$1.04
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · No0.2951.000$10.32+$7.28
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.0000.905$8.26+$8.26
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · No0.0001.000$7.65+$7.65
Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? · Yes0.9300.966$7.22+$0.27
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7260.855$6.24+$0.94
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.1400.755$5.66+$4.61
Will Michael Soetaert be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? · No0.0001.000$5.34+$5.34
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.2401.000$4.42+$3.36
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? · Yes0.1080.155$4.13+$1.25
Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.3100.995$3.40+$2.34
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9520.838$2.83$0.38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5240.665$2.71+$0.57
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.3600.860$2.56+$1.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-22 02:54Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?SELL0.49$0.24
02-21 21:16Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?BUY0.3699998851$1.61
02-21 21:16Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?BUY0.5599998535$1.07
02-21 21:16Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?BUY0.5599998535$1.07
02-21 21:11Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?BUY0.5699998402$1.07
02-21 21:11Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?SELL0.54$5.05
02-21 21:11Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?BUY0.5699998402$1.07
02-21 21:11Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?BUY0.5699998402$1.07
02-21 21:11Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?BUY0.5799999566$1.07
02-21 21:11Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?BUY0.5706140933$1.07
02-21 21:11Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?BUY0.5699998402$1.07
02-21 21:10Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?SELL0.5477496671$4.11
02-21 21:10Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?BUY0.5699995365$1.07
02-21 21:10Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?BUY0.5699995365$1.07
02-21 21:10Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?BUY0.5699995365$1.07