0xe72ca4c55b6aca03da3c55b570c7224ee9b8d3eb
- Realised P&L
- $36.63
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $125.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.42at 0.840Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?
- +$3.97at 0.083Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?
- +$2.46at 0.613Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.52at 0.939Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$1.31at 0.862Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-22 02:54 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.24 |
| 02-21 21:16 | Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | BUY | 0.3699998851 | $1.61 |
| 02-21 21:16 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | BUY | 0.5599998535 | $1.07 |
| 02-21 21:16 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | BUY | 0.5599998535 | $1.07 |
| 02-21 21:11 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | BUY | 0.5699998402 | $1.07 |
| 02-21 21:11 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | SELL | 0.54 | $5.05 |
| 02-21 21:11 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | BUY | 0.5699998402 | $1.07 |
| 02-21 21:11 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | BUY | 0.5699998402 | $1.07 |
| 02-21 21:11 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | BUY | 0.5799999566 | $1.07 |
| 02-21 21:11 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | BUY | 0.5706140933 | $1.07 |
| 02-21 21:11 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | BUY | 0.5699998402 | $1.07 |
| 02-21 21:10 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | SELL | 0.5477496671 | $4.11 |
| 02-21 21:10 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | BUY | 0.5699995365 | $1.07 |
| 02-21 21:10 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | BUY | 0.5699995365 | $1.07 |
| 02-21 21:10 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | BUY | 0.5699995365 | $1.07 |