moerz8swipuo
0xfc0332220098b7b86d86fe581c375e30e50d4a07
- Realised P&L
- $-26.22
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 268
- Open portfolio
- $25.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded268
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.12at 0.090Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$5.01at 0.180Pacers vs. Magic
- +$4.69at 0.190Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.260Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
- +$2.94at 0.110Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 07:50 | Will the Republican Party win the IL-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.0196767426 | $0.87 |
| 10-24 21:18 | Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? | SELL | 0.96 | $0.08 |
| 10-23 08:51 | 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.40 |
| 10-23 08:13 | 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.19 |
| 10-22 05:36 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.05 |
| 10-18 02:13 | Will the Republican Party win the IL-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.20 |
| 10-16 14:58 | Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.944 | $0.01 |
| 09-28 21:45 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.24 |
| 09-28 20:32 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.02 |
| 09-26 14:34 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.01 |
| 09-26 03:12 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.01 |
| 09-26 03:12 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.10 |
| 09-26 01:05 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.54 |
| 09-26 00:01 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.00 |
| 09-25 23:58 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.04 |