PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495

0xc7d02944a76b9f83b199e9090ecc92c82d241f8a

Realised P&L
$271.7k
Volume
$21.43M
Markets traded
46,806
Open portfolio
$184.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded46,806
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September? · Yes0.8500.895$5.3k+$272.36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9680.990$3.0k+$65.01
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.5930.800$2.9k+$762.36
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4740.447$2.4k$143.15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.5500.915$2.4k+$955.05
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · Yes0.4200.645$2.3k+$806.66
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · No0.9620.973$2.3k+$26.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? · No0.9770.988$2.1k+$23.86
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.9210.959$2.1k+$81.90
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.9630.983$2.1k+$42.56
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.8920.921$2.0k+$64.19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9420.918$1.7k$44.23
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.9700.967$1.6k$5.84
Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP? · No0.9300.970$1.5k+$59.82
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? · No0.8130.935$1.5k+$191.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 11:18Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?SELL0.997$49.85
09-14 11:18Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?SELL0.99$49.50
09-14 08:06US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?SELL0.975$48.75
09-14 08:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?SELL0.458$9.62
09-14 07:59Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?SELL0.962$48.10
09-14 07:59US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.71$35.50
09-14 07:58Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$7.00
09-14 07:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.983$49.15
09-14 07:58Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.969$48.45
09-14 07:58Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?SELL0.953$4.76
09-14 07:58Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.976$48.80
09-14 07:50Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.957$47.85
09-14 07:49US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.7$35.00
09-14 07:36Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?SELL0.931$46.55
09-14 06:48Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.996$49.80