0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495
0xc7d02944a76b9f83b199e9090ecc92c82d241f8a
- Realised P&L
- $271.7k
- Volume
- $21.43M
- Markets traded
- 46,806
- Open portfolio
- $184.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded46,806
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.028Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$4.2kat 0.020Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$3.4kat 0.180Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.4kat 0.100Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
- +$3.2kat 0.376Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 11:18 | Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | SELL | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 09-14 11:18 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | SELL | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-14 08:06 | US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | SELL | 0.975 | $48.75 |
| 09-14 08:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | SELL | 0.458 | $9.62 |
| 09-14 07:59 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SELL | 0.962 | $48.10 |
| 09-14 07:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 09-14 07:58 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 09-14 07:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.983 | $49.15 |
| 09-14 07:58 | Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.969 | $48.45 |
| 09-14 07:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | SELL | 0.953 | $4.76 |
| 09-14 07:58 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.976 | $48.80 |
| 09-14 07:50 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.957 | $47.85 |
| 09-14 07:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 09-14 07:36 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? | SELL | 0.931 | $46.55 |
| 09-14 06:48 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | SELL | 0.996 | $49.80 |