PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495

0xc7d02944a76b9f83b199e9090ecc92c82d241f8a

Realised P&L
$341.0k
Volume
$25.29M
Markets traded
48,289
Open portfolio
$238.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded48,289
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 22:52China x Japan military clash before 2027?SELL0.958$527.86
10-31 22:52US x China Military clash before 2027?SELL0.97$5.82
10-31 22:51Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?SELL0.978$225.92
10-31 22:51Bank of England rate hike in 2026?SELL0.98$4.90
10-31 22:51Iran Nuke before 2027?SELL0.958$181.06
10-31 22:51Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?SELL0.976$52.70
10-31 22:51Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?SELL0.961$36.52
10-31 22:51Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?SELL0.993$19.86
10-31 22:51AI bubble burst in 2026?SELL0.901$336.97
10-31 22:51Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$321.78
10-31 22:51Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.971$154.39
10-31 22:51Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.999$369.63
10-31 22:51Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.96$22.08
10-31 22:5110.0 or above earthquake before 2027?SELL0.983$117.96
10-31 22:51Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?SELL0.985$14.78