0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495
0xc7d02944a76b9f83b199e9090ecc92c82d241f8a
- Realised P&L
- $341.0k
- Volume
- $25.29M
- Markets traded
- 48,289
- Open portfolio
- $238.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded48,289
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.9kat 0.211Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$8.9kat 0.878Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$8.8kat 0.113Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
- +$6.7kat 0.221Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
- +$5.9kat 0.021Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 22:52 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.958 | $527.86 |
| 10-31 22:52 | US x China Military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.97 | $5.82 |
| 10-31 22:51 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.978 | $225.92 |
| 10-31 22:51 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-31 22:51 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.958 | $181.06 |
| 10-31 22:51 | Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | SELL | 0.976 | $52.70 |
| 10-31 22:51 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $36.52 |
| 10-31 22:51 | Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $19.86 |
| 10-31 22:51 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | SELL | 0.901 | $336.97 |
| 10-31 22:51 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $321.78 |
| 10-31 22:51 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.971 | $154.39 |
| 10-31 22:51 | Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.999 | $369.63 |
| 10-31 22:51 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.96 | $22.08 |
| 10-31 22:51 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | SELL | 0.983 | $117.96 |
| 10-31 22:51 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.985 | $14.78 |