PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938

0x66e7ce01c6831b8a2503d09edd6167152ee68bcd

Realised P&L
$135.4k
Volume
$9.60M
Markets traded
23,741
Open portfolio
$456.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded23,741
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4870.885$19.3k+$8.7k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No0.7330.940$16.7k+$3.7k
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? · No0.7930.765$5.4k−$198.58
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.3390.285$4.7k−$882.97
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? · No0.7900.770$3.7k−$95.25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3700.483$3.5k+$813.54
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes0.1080.255$3.4k+$1.9k
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? · No0.7090.725$3.0k+$68.58
Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.8760.941$3.0k+$206.82
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.8600.885$3.0k+$85.11
Will Democrats win the Texas Governor election and Republicans win the Texas Senate election? · No0.9970.999$2.4k+$5.87
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.3430.295$2.4k−$393.14
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6630.670$2.2k+$21.63
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? · Yes0.6060.595$2.2k−$40.43
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.7600.956$2.1k+$427.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:06Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?BUY0.5799999967$10.49
11-01 20:06Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?BUY0.56$10.64
11-01 20:05Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?SELL0.99$8.58
11-01 20:05Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South?SELL0.67$1.52
11-01 20:05Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.82$82.00
11-01 20:05Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?SELL0.99$24.74
11-01 20:05Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.02$1.33
11-01 20:05Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.09$5.49
11-01 20:05Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.4$60.00
11-01 20:05Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.4$29.60
11-01 20:05Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North?BUY0.9169999961$11.63
11-01 20:04Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.55$12.10
11-01 20:04Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.6528654354$12.37
11-01 20:04Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.67$16.08
11-01 20:04Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?BUY0.9309999986$33.51