0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938
0x66e7ce01c6831b8a2503d09edd6167152ee68bcd
- Realised P&L
- $135.4k
- Volume
- $9.60M
- Markets traded
- 23,741
- Open portfolio
- $456.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded23,741
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.8kat 0.290Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$8.0kat 0.005Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
- +$6.7kat 0.013Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$6.5kat 0.201Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
- +$5.2kat 0.008Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:06 | Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.5799999967 | $10.49 |
| 11-01 20:06 | Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.56 | $10.64 |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.99 | $8.58 |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South? | SELL | 0.67 | $1.52 |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.99 | $24.74 |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.33 |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.49 |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4 | $60.00 |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4 | $29.60 |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North? | BUY | 0.9169999961 | $11.63 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.55 | $12.10 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6528654354 | $12.37 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.67 | $16.08 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9309999986 | $33.51 |