PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430

0x120b3e2e98fc4fe8c383c70867fd635669f1ee03

Realised P&L
$11.6k
Volume
$673.8k
Markets traded
259
Open portfolio
$153.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded259
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat? · Yes0.9330.978$6.6k+$303.74
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat? · Yes0.9220.980$5.4k+$314.16
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat? · No0.8920.985$5.0k+$471.73
Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat? · No0.9400.995$4.7k+$260.28
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-12 House seat? · Yes0.9230.971$4.2k+$204.40
Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat? · Yes0.9200.971$3.9k+$202.00
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat? · Yes0.9230.989$3.8k+$254.06
Will the Republican Party win the KY-05 House seat? · Yes0.9210.986$3.8k+$245.19
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? · Yes0.8900.978$3.4k+$306.35
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-11 House seat? · Yes0.9310.984$3.4k+$180.73
Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat? · Yes0.9090.990$3.3k+$269.59
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat? · Yes0.9090.983$3.2k+$244.06
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-05 House seat? · Yes0.9230.989$3.0k+$199.37
Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? · Yes0.9330.987$2.9k+$157.86
Will the Republican Party win the IL-05 House seat? · No0.9400.988$2.8k+$135.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 01:52Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?SELL0.9960576967$172.64
10-22 01:51Will the Republican Party win the FL-20 House seat?SELL0.986$36.77
10-22 01:45Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?BUY0.001$0.39
07-19 04:49Will Andy Levin be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?SELL0.999$381.62
07-19 04:43Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?BUY0.846$682.39
07-16 15:54Will the Republican Party win the VA-04 House seat?BUY0.94$1.4k
07-14 20:37Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat?BUY0.94$3.4k
07-14 20:35Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?BUY0.941859353$937.53
07-14 20:29Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?BUY0.942$659.40
07-14 17:58Will the Democratic Party win the IL-05 House seat?BUY0.94$47.94
07-14 17:58Will the Republican Party win the IL-05 House seat?BUY0.94$2.3k
07-14 17:56Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat?BUY0.94$1.5k
07-14 16:48Will the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat?BUY0.94$1.7k
07-14 16:47Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat?BUY0.94$2.6k
07-14 16:45Will the Democratic Party win the IN-07 House seat?BUY0.94$963.41