PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430

0x120b3e2e98fc4fe8c383c70867fd635669f1ee03

Realised P&L
$14.9k
Volume
$680.0k
Markets traded
258
Open portfolio
$155.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded258
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat? · Yes0.9330.948$6.4k+$96.58
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat? · Yes0.9220.975$5.3k+$289.49
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat? · No0.8920.945$4.8k+$269.92
Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat? · No0.9400.941$4.5k+$4.73
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-12 House seat? · Yes0.9230.955$4.1k+$137.27
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat? · Yes0.9230.972$3.8k+$190.09
Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat? · Yes0.9200.940$3.8k+$78.00
Will the Republican Party win the KY-05 House seat? · Yes0.9210.950$3.6k+$108.16
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? · Yes0.8900.945$3.3k+$192.21
Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat? · Yes0.9090.985$3.3k+$251.32
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-11 House seat? · Yes0.9310.945$3.2k+$47.66
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat? · Yes0.9090.945$3.1k+$118.92
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-05 House seat? · Yes0.9230.965$2.9k+$126.75
Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? · Yes0.9330.942$2.8k+$23.50
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-07 House seat? · Yes0.9280.955$2.6k+$74.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 04:49Will Andy Levin be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?SELL0.999$381.62
07-19 04:43Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?BUY0.846$682.39
07-16 15:54Will the Republican Party win the VA-04 House seat?BUY0.94$1.4k
07-14 20:37Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat?BUY0.94$3.4k
07-14 20:35Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?BUY0.941859353$937.53
07-14 20:29Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?BUY0.942$659.40
07-14 17:58Will the Democratic Party win the IL-05 House seat?BUY0.94$47.94
07-14 17:58Will the Republican Party win the IL-05 House seat?BUY0.94$2.3k
07-14 17:56Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat?BUY0.94$1.5k
07-14 16:48Will the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat?BUY0.94$1.7k
07-14 16:47Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat?BUY0.94$2.6k
07-14 16:45Will the Democratic Party win the IN-07 House seat?BUY0.94$963.41
07-14 16:44Will the Republican Party win the IN-07 House seat?BUY0.94$957.88
07-14 01:41Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat?BUY0.94$4.69
07-13 23:12Will the Republican Party win the TX-37 House seat?BUY0.94$1.1k