0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430
0x120b3e2e98fc4fe8c383c70867fd635669f1ee03
- Realised P&L
- $14.9k
- Volume
- $680.0k
- Markets traded
- 258
- Open portfolio
- $155.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded258
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.780Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$3.2kat 0.730Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$1.8kat 0.640 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$1.5kat 0.387Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?
- +$605.52at 0.340Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 04:49 | Will Andy Levin be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | SELL | 0.999 | $381.62 |
| 07-19 04:43 | Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | BUY | 0.846 | $682.39 |
| 07-16 15:54 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.4k |
| 07-14 20:37 | Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $3.4k |
| 07-14 20:35 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat? | BUY | 0.941859353 | $937.53 |
| 07-14 20:29 | Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.942 | $659.40 |
| 07-14 17:58 | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.94 |
| 07-14 17:58 | Will the Republican Party win the IL-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.3k |
| 07-14 17:56 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.5k |
| 07-14 16:48 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.7k |
| 07-14 16:47 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.6k |
| 07-14 16:45 | Will the Democratic Party win the IN-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $963.41 |
| 07-14 16:44 | Will the Republican Party win the IN-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $957.88 |
| 07-14 01:41 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.69 |
| 07-13 23:12 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-37 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.1k |