immanuelcan
0x04b954ec5d65e0a855d31b5e695083f3c4ad79e0
- Realised P&L
- $9.3k
- Volume
- $7.57M
- Markets traded
- 2,195
- Open portfolio
- $28.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,195
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration48.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.0kat 0.139Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$14.3kat 0.34076ers vs. Celtics
- +$13.5kat 0.459US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$10.8kat 0.304US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$10.7kat 0.588Spurs vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 21:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.014 | $382.42 |
| 07-28 18:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.216 | $2.1k |
| 06-15 20:20 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 06-15 20:20 | New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 06-15 20:19 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 06-14 19:14 | Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.99 | $59.40 |
| 06-09 17:27 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May? | BUY | 0.48 | $139.84 |
| 06-09 17:27 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% or less in May? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.95 |
| 06-09 17:26 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May? | BUY | 0.48 | $152.33 |
| 06-07 20:13 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.1399484863 | $353.17 |
| 06-07 20:07 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | BUY | 0.27 | $827.03 |
| 06-01 23:06 | Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | BUY | 0.61 | $122.00 |
| 05-30 23:31 | Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.59 | $2.9k |
| 05-24 02:44 | Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May? | SELL | 0.29 | $92.80 |
| 05-24 02:43 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $432.33 |