immanuelcan
0x04b954ec5d65e0a855d31b5e695083f3c4ad79e0
- Realised P&L
- $39.4k
- Volume
- $7.61M
- Markets traded
- 2,256
- Open portfolio
- $28.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,256
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.8kat 0.367Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$17.0kat 0.139Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$14.1kat 0.34776ers vs. Celtics
- +$13.5kat 0.459US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$12.1kat 0.432Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 16:39 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9539556991 | $1.5k |
| 10-27 13:58 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9537362049 | $998.15 |
| 10-20 23:18 | Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.927 | $9.26 |
| 10-06 19:29 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.015 | $15.38 |
| 09-18 04:04 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.503 | $20.04 |
| 09-18 02:26 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.218 | $232.17 |
| 09-17 04:26 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.3 | $45.00 |
| 09-17 02:47 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.29 | $722.69 |
| 09-17 02:09 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.28 | $425.23 |
| 09-15 01:52 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.38 |
| 08-10 17:31 | Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? | BUY | 0.84 | $3.4k |
| 07-30 21:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.014 | $382.42 |
| 07-28 18:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.216 | $2.1k |
| 06-15 20:20 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 06-15 20:20 | New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |