PolyBot

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Traders

immanuelcan

0x04b954ec5d65e0a855d31b5e695083f3c4ad79e0

Realised P&L
$43.9k
Volume
$7.64M
Markets traded
2,226
Open portfolio
$28.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,226
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2870.305$1.3k+$77.02
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9030.961$852.00+$51.30
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.3200.375$544.51+$79.86
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.3050.875$518.74+$337.82
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8860.935$516.01+$26.92
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9260.959$511.24+$17.42
Ramp IPO before 2027? · No0.8190.978$488.41+$79.50
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0300.053$487.86+$215.60
Vanta IPO before 2027? · No0.8420.985$446.61+$64.74
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4500.445$445.00$5.00
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · Yes0.9200.967$405.93+$19.53
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? · No0.9090.970$400.92+$24.86
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? · No0.7560.981$391.22+$89.68
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9080.960$386.41+$20.98
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat? · Yes0.8310.935$383.97+$42.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:26Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.3$45.00
09-17 02:47Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.29$722.69
09-17 02:09Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.28$425.23
09-15 01:52Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.92$6.38
08-10 17:31Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?BUY0.84$3.4k
07-30 21:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.014$382.42
07-28 18:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.216$2.1k
06-15 20:20Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas WingsBUY0.59$2.95
06-15 20:20New York Mets vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.46$2.30
06-15 20:19Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.68$3.40
06-14 19:14Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?SELL0.99$59.40
06-09 17:27Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May?BUY0.48$139.84
06-09 17:27Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% or less in May?BUY0.99$7.95
06-09 17:26Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May?BUY0.48$152.33
06-07 20:13Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.1399484863$353.17