PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa2fcb3047f2117434782f04b101f7a8c8315e3ec

Realised P&L
$26.98
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$46.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 19:11Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?SELL0.95$0.28
08-31 17:00Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?SELL0.95$0.34
08-29 21:21Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?SELL0.95$0.05
08-28 09:46Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?SELL0.95$0.06
08-27 00:27Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?SELL0.95$0.09
08-23 15:00Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?SELL0.95$0.12
08-18 16:44Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002$1.05
08-18 06:54Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?SELL0.95$0.03
08-17 20:53Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?BUY0.0339999698$1.05
08-16 19:46Will the Republican Party win the IL-03 House seat?BUY0.02$1.05
08-16 16:03Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?SELL0.95$0.01
08-16 14:55Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?SELL0.95$0.01
08-16 13:46Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?SELL0.95$0.01
08-16 13:30Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?SELL0.95$0.31
08-16 02:54Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?SELL0.95$0.01