PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xa2fcb3047f2117434782f04b101f7a8c8315e3ec

Realised P&L
$13.37
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$61.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 17:41Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.983$0.01
07-14 17:23Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.983$0.01
07-14 04:43Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.983$0.06
07-10 10:55Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.983$0.04
07-03 21:56Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.983$0.01
06-28 14:28Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.983$0.06
06-25 00:50Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.995$1.41
06-25 00:32Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?SELL0.969$0.83
06-25 00:30Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?SELL0.969$0.11
06-23 10:15Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0419999646$1.09
06-23 10:15Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0419999646$1.09
06-23 10:15Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0419999646$1.09
06-23 10:12Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.042$0.84
06-22 21:02Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?SELL0.22$0.04
06-22 20:59Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?SELL0.22$0.07
Trader 0xa2fc…e3ec · PolyBot