PolyBot

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Traders

pxb96v3clwti

0xedd835510e08c1de5c794ebc192c3222eef7b939

Realised P&L
$-378.37
Volume
$10.0k
Markets traded
558
Open portfolio
$441.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded558
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9160.993$83.40+$6.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.994$71.44+$4.54
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8200.975$29.71+$4.71
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9290.973$27.45+$1.22
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · No0.0860.413$21.52+$17.02
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.9070.903$16.43−$0.07
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8110.971$14.37+$2.37
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.5980.785$13.13+$3.13
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.6700.885$11.89+$2.89
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8780.945$10.76+$0.76
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7540.853$9.05+$1.05
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? · Yes0.9350.977$7.83+$0.33
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9490.972$6.62+$0.16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9170.945$6.19+$0.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7160.964$6.06+$1.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 03:10Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.972$0.02
11-02 02:40Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.972$0.02
11-02 02:10Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.972$0.02
11-02 01:10Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.972$0.02
11-02 00:40Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.972$0.02
11-02 00:10Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.972$0.02
11-01 23:40Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.972$0.02
11-01 23:10Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.972$0.02
11-01 22:40Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.972$0.02
11-01 21:40Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.972$0.02
11-01 21:10Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.972$0.02
11-01 20:10Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.972$0.02
11-01 19:40Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.972$0.02
11-01 19:10Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.972$0.02
11-01 18:40Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.972$0.02