Ryxon21
0x3dca854f147d9b9ecc56d37800f36b347ce23c13
- Realised P&L
- $132.7k
- Volume
- $4.07M
- Markets traded
- 667
- Open portfolio
- $253.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded667
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.4kat 0.376Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$14.6kat 0.176Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$11.9kat 0.886Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$7.0kat 0.862Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$6.6kat 0.862Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:08 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $754.06 |
| 11-01 18:51 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $10.0k |
| 11-01 18:50 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.1k |
| 11-01 17:46 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $27.80 |
| 11-01 17:37 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $733.62 |
| 11-01 10:31 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.9k |
| 11-01 07:49 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.1k |
| 10-31 22:50 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.3k |
| 10-31 18:28 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2490260315 | $900.00 |
| 10-31 18:27 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $878.25 |
| 10-31 14:56 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.9567062943 | $1.0k |
| 10-30 22:01 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.94 | $25.0k |
| 10-29 06:15 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $756.24 |
| 10-29 06:14 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9100120624 | $492.00 |
| 10-28 21:01 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $752.96 |