Assura
0x19a6c3bce19a7c337bcee656bb6f510ff55b1cec
- Realised P&L
- $-15.61
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 379
- Open portfolio
- $118.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded379
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.55at 0.210Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$2.88at 0.280Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
- +$2.84at 0.289Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?
- +$2.76at 0.310U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.74at 0.310Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:04 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.986 | $1.97 |
| 08-04 08:04 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.99 |
| 08-04 08:04 | Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? | BUY | 0.24 | $0.21 |
| 08-04 08:03 | Will Atalanta qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? | BUY | 0.968 | $1.94 |
| 08-04 08:03 | Haiti elections delayed again? | BUY | 0.989 | $1.98 |
| 08-04 08:03 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Serie A next? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.98 |
| 08-04 08:03 | Will Mohamed Salah play in La Liga next? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.99 |
| 08-04 08:03 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.99 |
| 08-04 08:02 | Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.48 |
| 08-04 08:01 | Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.98 |
| 08-04 07:57 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.90 |
| 08-04 07:56 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | SELL | 0.96 | $1.92 |
| 08-04 07:56 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.84 |
| 08-04 07:55 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.96 |
| 08-04 07:55 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.962 | $1.92 |