PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

p44srbf9g258

0xf151b4f8c48ea5ad5b5e53907c899419f81624c7

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$242.6k
Markets traded
7,325
Open portfolio
$12.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,325
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat? · No0.9500.981$2.53+$0.08
Will the Republican Party win the CO-01 House seat? · No0.9500.993$2.24+$0.10
Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? · Yes0.9450.994$2.19+$0.11
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat? · No0.9600.989$1.71+$0.05
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-10 House seat? · Yes0.9480.985$1.43+$0.05
Will the Democratic Party win the VT-AL House seat? · Yes0.9500.983$1.27+$0.04
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat? · Yes0.9520.985$1.18+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 11:25Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4899999572$1.03
10-09 11:25Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4899999572$1.03
10-08 20:02Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.6159999388$1.61
10-08 19:28Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.61$0.01
10-08 19:16Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.25$0.02
10-08 19:10Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.19$0.01
10-08 18:59Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.33$0.00
10-08 18:55Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.38$0.09
10-08 18:51Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.54$0.02
10-08 18:50Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.54$0.01
10-08 18:42Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.43$0.45
10-08 18:41Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.44$0.01
10-08 18:40Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.43$0.00
10-08 18:40Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.44$0.02
10-08 18:33Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.3899999554$1.40