p44srbf9g258
0xf151b4f8c48ea5ad5b5e53907c899419f81624c7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $242.6k
- Markets traded
- 7,325
- Open portfolio
- $12.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,325
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.981 | $2.53 | +$0.08 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-01 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.993 | $2.24 | +$0.10 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.945 | 0.994 | $2.19 | +$0.11 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat? · No | 0.960 | 0.989 | $1.71 | +$0.05 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-10 House seat? · Yes | 0.948 | 0.985 | $1.43 | +$0.05 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VT-AL House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.983 | $1.27 | +$0.04 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.952 | 0.985 | $1.18 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$302.20at 0.471Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
- +$266.93at 0.535Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
- +$222.81at 0.291LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$195.90at 0.497Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$189.23at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 11:25 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4899999572 | $1.03 |
| 10-09 11:25 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4899999572 | $1.03 |
| 10-08 20:02 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | BUY | 0.6159999388 | $1.61 |
| 10-08 19:28 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.61 | $0.01 |
| 10-08 19:16 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.25 | $0.02 |
| 10-08 19:10 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.19 | $0.01 |
| 10-08 18:59 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.33 | $0.00 |
| 10-08 18:55 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.38 | $0.09 |
| 10-08 18:51 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.54 | $0.02 |
| 10-08 18:50 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.54 | $0.01 |
| 10-08 18:42 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.43 | $0.45 |
| 10-08 18:41 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.44 | $0.01 |
| 10-08 18:40 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.43 | $0.00 |
| 10-08 18:40 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.44 | $0.02 |
| 10-08 18:33 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3899999554 | $1.40 |