qcp1
0x9f444616d2450a5151922ac7c889911950b97470
- Realised P&L
- $-292.02
- Volume
- $98.4k
- Markets traded
- 349
- Open portfolio
- $427.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded349
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.77at 0.105Will Latonya Reeves be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
- +$49.84at 0.480Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$41.34at 0.157Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$40.16at 0.130Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
- +$36.87at 0.642Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 09:49 | Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.83 | $5.79 |
| 09-01 02:04 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.05 | $7.50 |
| 08-29 21:47 | Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.82 | $5.72 |
| 08-23 20:12 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.21 |
| 08-19 20:18 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.88 | $32.91 |
| 08-17 20:53 | Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.034 | $1.29 |
| 08-17 15:49 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 15:48 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 15:46 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 15:15 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 15:11 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 14:26 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 14:16 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 09:37 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 08:04 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |