PolyBot

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Traders

nicoco89

0x7ac83882979ccb5665cea83cb269e558b55077cd

Realised P&L
$121.1k
Volume
$4.58M
Markets traded
2,246
Open portfolio
$33.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,246
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? · Yes0.8820.987$3.5k+$373.91
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? · Yes0.8620.957$3.5k+$341.94
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9040.969$1.8k+$122.04
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? · No0.8720.960$1.7k+$152.72
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat? · No0.9050.999$1.6k+$151.71
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9110.967$1.3k+$75.74
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.8000.330$922.32−$1.3k
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.6010.981$921.05+$356.84
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat? · Yes0.4340.955$875.74+$477.90
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No0.9011.000$821.09+$80.90
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? · Yes0.7670.695$770.30−$79.62
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat? · Yes0.9000.992$685.47+$63.57
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat? · Yes0.9240.969$679.91+$31.34
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7380.978$651.22+$159.97
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5960.565$646.14−$35.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 23:58Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL0.07$3.85
09-20 11:24Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.66$194.56
09-08 09:49Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?SELL0.8332863728$580.24
08-29 21:47Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?BUY0.779786739$542.99
08-18 22:58Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.815$230.24
08-17 10:16Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.2692780061$241.79
08-12 12:28Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?SELL0.097$12.13
08-11 19:56Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.99$743.23
08-11 19:56Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.9900206306$1.2k
08-10 02:47Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?SELL0.686$316.80
08-09 01:08Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?BUY0.8817739784$6.7k
08-04 23:08Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?SELL0.0071234959$1.66
08-04 21:46Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?SELL0.962329314$713.49
08-04 21:44Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.9411902076$88.42
08-03 10:08Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?SELL0.37$240.43