nicoco89
0x7ac83882979ccb5665cea83cb269e558b55077cd
- Realised P&L
- $121.1k
- Volume
- $4.58M
- Markets traded
- 2,246
- Open portfolio
- $33.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,246
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.991Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
- +$6.0kat 0.029Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$3.7kat 0.577Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$2.7kat 0.041Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.7kat 0.709Will there be no coalition by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 23:58 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.85 |
| 09-20 11:24 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.66 | $194.56 |
| 09-08 09:49 | Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.8332863728 | $580.24 |
| 08-29 21:47 | Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.779786739 | $542.99 |
| 08-18 22:58 | Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.815 | $230.24 |
| 08-17 10:16 | Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.2692780061 | $241.79 |
| 08-12 12:28 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? | SELL | 0.097 | $12.13 |
| 08-11 19:56 | Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.99 | $743.23 |
| 08-11 19:56 | Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.9900206306 | $1.2k |
| 08-10 02:47 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? | SELL | 0.686 | $316.80 |
| 08-09 01:08 | Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? | BUY | 0.8817739784 | $6.7k |
| 08-04 23:08 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.0071234959 | $1.66 |
| 08-04 21:46 | Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | SELL | 0.962329314 | $713.49 |
| 08-04 21:44 | Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.9411902076 | $88.42 |
| 08-03 10:08 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | SELL | 0.37 | $240.43 |