PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cigarettes

0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9

Realised P&L
$-52.1k
Volume
$606.71M
Markets traded
158,394
Open portfolio
$565.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded158,394
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:19UFC 334: Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.35$3.50
11-01 21:181H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)BUY0.43$43.00
11-01 20:56Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?BUY0.992$496.00
11-01 20:55Celtics vs. MagicBUY0.36$36.00
11-01 20:50Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?BUY0.34$17.00
11-01 20:49Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?BUY0.26$8.84
11-01 20:47Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.014$7.00
11-01 20:46Celtics vs. MagicBUY0.43$17.19
11-01 20:42Celtics vs. MagicBUY0.71$99.40
11-01 20:26Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY0.063$1.67
11-01 19:54Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.14$4.51
11-01 19:54Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.14$8.26
11-01 19:54Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.14$11.76
11-01 19:54Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.14$6.38
11-01 19:54Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.012$4.16