cigarettes
0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9
- Realised P&L
- $690.6k
- Volume
- $578.53M
- Markets traded
- 87,074
- Open portfolio
- $202.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded87,074
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$677.2kat 0.031Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$392.6kat 0.008Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
- +$328.3kat 0.002Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
- +$243.9kat 0.032Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$239.5kat 0.032Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:25 | Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.051 | $1.84 |
| 08-02 21:20 | Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.944 | $47.20 |
| 08-02 21:20 | Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.943 | $895.85 |
| 08-02 21:09 | Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.263 | $57.18 |
| 08-02 20:50 | National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara Bejlek | BUY | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 08-02 20:23 | National Bank Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ariana Arseneault | BUY | 0.051 | $1.30 |
| 08-02 20:19 | Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.3816444444 | $343.48 |
| 08-02 20:19 | Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.28 | $280.00 |
| 08-02 20:19 | Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.28 | $280.00 |
| 08-02 20:13 | Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.16 | $32.00 |
| 08-02 20:05 | National Bank Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Viktorija Golubic | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:40 | Will Kristoffer Ventura win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.94 | $141.00 |
| 08-02 19:40 | Will Kristoffer Ventura win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.94 | $282.00 |
| 08-02 19:40 | Will Kristoffer Ventura win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 08-02 19:40 | Will Kristoffer Ventura win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |