PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cigarettes

0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9

Realised P&L
$730.9k
Volume
$596.70M
Markets traded
117,241
Open portfolio
$218.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded117,241
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:26Tiburon: Timo Legout vs Bryce NakashimaBUY0.41$13.14
09-17 19:23Tiburon: Timo Legout vs Bryce NakashimaBUY0.44$22.00
09-17 19:22Tiburon: Timo Legout vs Bryce NakashimaBUY0.43$21.50
09-17 19:21Tiburon: Timo Legout vs Bryce NakashimaBUY0.397746$19.89
09-17 19:21Tiburon: Timo Legout vs Bryce NakashimaBUY0.38$19.00
09-17 19:21Tiburon: Timo Legout vs Bryce NakashimaBUY0.38$6.40
09-17 19:21Tiburon: Timo Legout vs Bryce NakashimaBUY0.38$7.41
09-17 19:21Tiburon: Timo Legout vs Bryce NakashimaBUY0.38$5.18
09-17 18:27Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.46$20.24
09-17 18:27Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.13$2.34
09-17 18:27Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.46$58.42
09-17 18:25Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.13$7.41
09-17 18:12Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.12$6.72
09-17 18:12Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.12$10.32
09-17 18:00Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?BUY0.73$12.41