0x2a15e54c76e1ff2811749f4930f66b23c4e5f2a3
- Realised P&L
- $-82.79
- Volume
- $21.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,138
- Open portfolio
- $18.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,138
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.74at 0.490Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
- +$41.17at 0.020Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,700 in January?
- +$32.65at 0.539Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
- +$29.80at 0.513Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
- +$26.60at 0.650Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 10:17 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.18 |
| 09-14 17:52 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.17 |
| 09-13 21:00 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.08 |
| 09-13 20:53 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.959999706 | $2.09 |
| 08-19 00:10 | Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.16 |
| 08-19 00:10 | Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.16 |
| 08-18 21:50 | Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.08 |
| 08-18 20:12 | Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.08 |
| 08-07 01:38 | Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.23 |
| 08-05 03:54 | Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.16 |
| 08-05 03:54 | Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.18 |
| 08-03 03:32 | Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.9599998154 | $2.08 |
| 08-01 20:17 | Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.9499998173 | $2.08 |
| 08-01 01:27 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.26 |
| 07-30 20:50 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.07 |