yummyummyummy
0x007f8592835b6470c25237130417f53d5e36233a
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $168.4k
- Markets traded
- 883
- Open portfolio
- $95.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded883
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.540 | $32.22 | −$19.10 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.750 | 0.714 | $21.50 | −$1.08 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.890 | $8.85 | +$2.09 |
| US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.310 | $8.04 | +$0.26 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · No | 0.770 | 0.795 | $7.91 | +$0.25 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.983 | $7.44 | +$0.25 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.789 | $6.22 | −$1.34 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.994 | $2.44 | +$0.16 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.009 | $0.72 | −$3.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$500.68at 0.447Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
- +$439.00at 0.901Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$284.21at 0.497Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
- +$220.67at 0.620Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$155.63at 0.662Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 15:00 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.21 |
| 11-02 12:00 | Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.99 | $53.93 |
| 11-02 05:26 | US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $4.48 |
| 11-02 04:34 | US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999952 | $12.58 |
| 10-31 14:33 | US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | SELL | 0.44 | $24.61 |
| 10-31 14:32 | US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $31.82 |
| 10-31 08:16 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 08:12 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.609999987 | $9.82 |
| 10-30 14:40 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.769999996 | $7.66 |
| 10-29 11:00 | Will Tradeweb (TW) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.79 |
| 10-28 15:39 | US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899999995 | $7.16 |
| 10-28 15:36 | US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.95 |
| 10-28 02:44 | US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | SELL | 0.86 | $42.25 |
| 10-23 21:58 | Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.56 |
| 10-23 21:12 | US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | BUY | 0.8199999984 | $40.29 |