PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

yummyummyummy

0x007f8592835b6470c25237130417f53d5e36233a

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$168.4k
Markets traded
883
Open portfolio
$95.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded883
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8600.540$32.22−$19.10
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.7500.714$21.50−$1.08
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.890$8.85+$2.09
US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.3000.310$8.04+$0.26
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · No0.7700.795$7.91+$0.25
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat? · Yes0.9500.983$7.44+$0.25
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31? · Yes0.9600.789$6.22−$1.34
Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? · Yes0.9300.994$2.44+$0.16
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0500.009$0.72−$3.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 15:00Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October?BUY0.99$16.21
11-02 12:00Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.99$53.93
11-02 05:26US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?SELL0.28$4.48
11-02 04:34US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?BUY0.2999999952$12.58
10-31 14:33US imports Russian diesel by November 30?SELL0.44$24.61
10-31 14:32US imports Russian diesel by December 31?SELL0.4$31.82
10-31 08:16Thunder vs. RocketsBUY0.6099999116$2.00
10-31 08:12Thunder vs. RocketsBUY0.609999987$9.82
10-30 14:40Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?BUY0.769999996$7.66
10-29 11:00Will Tradeweb (TW) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.99$0.79
10-28 15:39US imports Russian diesel by December 31?BUY0.0899999995$7.16
10-28 15:36US imports Russian diesel by November 30?BUY0.16$8.95
10-28 02:44US imports Russian diesel by November 30?SELL0.86$42.25
10-23 21:58Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?BUY0.96$7.56
10-23 21:12US imports Russian diesel by November 30?BUY0.8199999984$40.29