Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.089. down 0.114 over the period, from 0.203. Range 0.056 to 0.225. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.100	31	31
0.107	113	144
0.108	482	626
0.109	150	776
0.110	187	963
0.111	155	1,118
0.115	40	1,158
0.116	15	1,173
0.117	278	1,451
0.118	134	1,585
0.122	30	1,615
0.127	45	1,660

Spread0.019Mid0.090

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.081	20	20
0.080	78	98
0.079	437	534
0.076	125	659
0.075	75	734
0.073	75	809
0.057	50	859
0.056	220	1,079
0.055	251	1,329
0.054	1,114	2,443
0.052	63	2,506
0.044	30	2,536

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.919	20	20
0.920	78	98
0.921	437	534
0.924	125	659
0.925	75	734
0.927	75	809
0.943	50	859
0.944	220	1,079
0.945	251	1,329
0.946	1,114	2,443
0.948	63	2,506
0.956	30	2,536

Spread0.019Mid0.909

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.900	31	31
0.893	113	144
0.892	482	626
0.891	150	776
0.890	187	963
0.889	155	1,118
0.885	40	1,158
0.884	15	1,173
0.883	278	1,451
0.882	134	1,585
0.878	30	1,615
0.873	45	1,660

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
rewardbots	Yes	6,305.3
maraya	Yes	6,088.93
8dcc906a9b	Yes	5,983.77
Stupendous-Innerstate	Yes	3,151.28
molodoyy	Yes	2,908.08
ifyouloveme	Yes	1,081.19
0x8542adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b	Yes	1,000
lu2000	Yes	644.82
donthackme	Yes	632.72
qianyi2026	Yes	556.58
kk22231	Yes	472.02
HerrieDavis	Yes	442.9
dgfd76	Yes	429.71
GollumGekko	Yes	405.14
X-Rabbit.Sezu	Yes	350
johnthek	Yes	254
tywwetherididi	Yes	178.07
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	175.02
sunnynotbunny	Yes	166.67
robert-mukhametov	Yes	156.15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:43:16	BUY	No	0.9039079047	65	$58.89
20:02:15	BUY	No	0.907	14	$12.70
19:51:27	BUY	No	0.91	53	$48.23
19:51:18	BUY	No	0.909	30	$27.27
18:14:30	BUY	Yes	0.1139999977	26	$3.00
15:22:39	BUY	No	0.906	20	$18.12
15:17:33	BUY	No	0.906	40	$36.24
14:26:24	BUY	No	0.904	16	$14.52
14:11:03	BUY	No	0.9029999971	31	$28.25
13:42:24	BUY	No	0.903	10	$9.03
08:43:18	BUY	Yes	0.12	11	$1.32
08:36:27	BUY	Yes	0.12	33	$3.96
08:19:27	BUY	Yes	0.1379999923	11	$1.58
08:19:07	BUY	Yes	0.1360030613	767	$104.31
08:18:48	BUY	Yes	0.1170013141	1,312	$153.45
08:10:58	BUY	Yes	0.1149999986	36	$4.17
08:10:37	BUY	Yes	0.1029532132	716	$73.74
07:53:18	BUY	Yes	0.1009095393	163	$16.47
07:52:58	BUY	Yes	0.0687136301	190	$13.03
07:41:01	BUY	No	0.94	5	$4.70
07:17:34	BUY	No	0.94	83	$78.33
06:53:06	BUY	No	0.94	1	$1.23
06:52:27	BUY	No	0.939	159	$149.57
06:27:51	BUY	No	0.9379999988	22	$20.48
06:27:49	BUY	No	0.9394723536	92	$86.55