dgfd76
0x191e35891382d3d6590918ff7a4b732689c1ef6b
- Realised P&L
- $-42.57
- Volume
- $125.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,090
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,090
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$504.87at 0.150Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$448.08at 0.428Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
- +$346.74at 0.150Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
- +$316.24at 0.277Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?
- +$220.93at 0.183Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:10 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $13.45 |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $13.49 |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $27.08 |
| 11-01 19:32 | Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.47 |
| 11-01 19:25 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.34 | $7.24 |
| 11-01 19:25 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.144 | $2.72 |
| 11-01 19:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.28 |
| 11-01 19:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.97 |
| 11-01 19:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.09 |
| 11-01 19:21 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $27.69 |
| 11-01 19:13 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $27.29 |
| 11-01 19:11 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $43.84 |
| 11-01 19:05 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.73 | $28.45 |
| 11-01 19:05 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.62 |
| 11-01 18:56 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $42.61 |