lu2000
0x503a86e62441e6401dd954f4e6989a244415860a
- Realised P&L
- $-7.0k
- Volume
- $958.9k
- Markets traded
- 873
- Open portfolio
- $187.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded873
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.528Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 2AM ET
- +$2.1kat 0.318LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
- +$1.4kat 0.109LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffs
- +$1.4kat 0.270Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-05?
- +$1.3kat 0.637Celtics vs. 76ers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:32 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $120.00 |
| 09-17 17:22 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.3997779012 | $90.00 |
| 09-17 12:46 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $377.39 |
| 09-17 10:48 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.4499999997 | $170.00 |
| 09-17 10:47 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.99 | $412.49 |
| 09-17 10:06 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4799999996 | $200.00 |
| 09-16 22:36 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1550825163 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 22:02 | Lions vs. Bills | BUY | 0.3299999994 | $140.00 |
| 09-16 19:20 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.08 | $40.00 |
| 09-16 17:28 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $750.00 |
| 09-16 14:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3640299078 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 14:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4873072099 | $220.00 |
| 09-15 21:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.0k |
| 09-15 21:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5715960142 | $600.00 |
| 09-15 21:14 | Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5989999996 | $370.00 |