qianyi2026
0x1cf169df887c8aca4d8afc83b1a37710b2756ca1
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $384.5k
- Markets traded
- 771
- Open portfolio
- $20.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded771
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$255.75at 0.741Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
- +$249.27at 0.503Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?
- +$165.37at 0.479Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
- +$152.84at 0.874Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in August?
- +$124.34at 0.942Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 13:09 | Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $192.11 |
| 09-19 13:08 | Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.64 |
| 09-19 13:06 | Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.9390083195 | $56.43 |
| 09-19 13:02 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.9216276042 | $113.25 |
| 09-19 12:58 | Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.8998053428 | $45.81 |
| 09-19 12:54 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $11.27 |
| 09-19 12:53 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.621 | $23.93 |
| 09-19 12:51 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $69.30 |
| 09-19 12:50 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.9129088942 | $632.78 |
| 09-19 01:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $249.13 |
| 09-19 00:53 | Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.958 | $19.21 |
| 09-19 00:52 | Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $163.56 |
| 09-19 00:49 | Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $38.58 |
| 09-19 00:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $227.50 |
| 09-19 00:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | SELL | 0.989 | $296.59 |