8dcc906a9b
0xdbd028b4afcb6fe1e30c55fb65f59a1133d58c1c
- Realised P&L
- $-38.2k
- Volume
- $1.92M
- Markets traded
- 286
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded286
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.6kat 0.108Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$2.5kat 0.269Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.424Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 200B HKD?
- +$1.2kat 0.166US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.137Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 03:13 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.8990492712 | $658.17 |
| 10-20 23:34 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $58.48 |
| 10-20 09:03 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $241.41 |
| 10-20 08:22 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5738160656 | $30.07 |
| 10-19 12:45 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $28.30 |
| 10-19 08:26 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0148421053 | $0.39 |
| 10-19 08:26 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $3.91 |
| 10-12 16:57 | Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $21.81 |
| 10-12 16:54 | Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1428571429 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 14:47 | Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2438993526 | $33.15 |
| 10-10 14:47 | Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3738461538 | $19.44 |
| 10-10 14:47 | Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3060682707 | $114.23 |
| 10-10 14:45 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0223692625 | $45.89 |
| 10-10 14:45 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $297.41 |
| 10-09 09:01 | Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.9897559263 | $33.82 |