PolyBot

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Traders

8dcc906a9b

0xdbd028b4afcb6fe1e30c55fb65f59a1133d58c1c

Realised P&L
$-53.4k
Volume
$1.74M
Markets traded
204
Open portfolio
$9.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded204
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.3150.195$2.7k$1.6k
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.2610.750$1.3k+$875.82
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.1450.120$1.1k$222.56
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1740.061$764.56$1.4k
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.2310.731$670.62+$458.50
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.1160.084$502.64$192.64
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 · Yes0.3880.130$430.06$852.80
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.3440.255$303.93$105.99
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.4530.195$272.55$361.04
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0960.091$228.23$13.13
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.5970.758$214.11+$45.43
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · Yes0.2320.032$185.08$1.2k
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · No0.9500.988$178.48+$6.86
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 30? · Yes0.8590.420$169.97$177.51
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.2260.235$141.01+$5.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:15Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.1206451472$55.39
09-17 01:14Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.0899133887$12.46
09-17 00:46Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.1236979969$40.14
09-17 00:37Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.111459854$30.54
09-17 00:37Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.121989258$18.40
09-17 00:33Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.1206198347$29.19
09-17 00:18Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.27$81.00
09-17 00:17Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.296541555$16.59
09-17 00:13Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.14$1.40
09-17 00:13Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.0974537526$30.28
09-17 00:13Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.157026662$122.09
09-17 00:12Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.1307042733$17.68
09-16 17:40Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?BUY0.08$2.13
09-16 17:32Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.3815789474$72.50
09-16 17:32Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.059643038$11.78