PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

8dcc906a9b

0xdbd028b4afcb6fe1e30c55fb65f59a1133d58c1c

Realised P&L
$-23.7k
Volume
$817.7k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$9.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3380.255$2.8k$899.39
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.5710.575$1.7k+$12.08
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yes0.4020.190$1.4k$1.6k
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1740.085$1.1k$1.2k
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 · Yes0.3880.230$760.88$521.98
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.3240.460$340.86+$100.53
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.021$306.85$1.2k
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · No0.6500.939$248.64+$76.48
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2210.335$182.14+$61.82
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2270.205$169.41$17.92
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2050.140$167.73$77.79
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? · Yes0.3270.560$118.15+$49.17
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2890.165$95.53$71.57
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September? · Yes0.0900.105$74.25+$10.61
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? · Yes0.2890.032$57.54$469.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 08:24NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6498150455$172.16
07-30 08:22NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3794674808$213.78
07-30 08:22NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3646483086$722.89
07-30 08:22NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3288318859$2.7k
07-30 08:21NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2049295105$245.52
07-30 07:20Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?BUY0.5932008667$394.22
07-30 04:09Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?BUY0.4340130664$455.72
07-26 10:08Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?BUY0.0514861832$97.74
07-26 10:07Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?BUY0.068730461$50.17
07-26 10:07Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0303557937$488.16
07-26 10:07Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0439668138$677.26
07-25 13:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.3243319073$240.33
07-25 13:43US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?BUY0.09$184.50
07-25 13:43US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.07$215.15
07-25 13:43US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.06349675$253.99