8dcc906a9b
0xdbd028b4afcb6fe1e30c55fb65f59a1133d58c1c
- Realised P&L
- $-23.7k
- Volume
- $817.7k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $9.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.166US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.137Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
- +$818.08at 0.494Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?
- +$616.55at 0.245US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
- +$544.92at 0.353Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 08:24 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6498150455 | $172.16 |
| 07-30 08:22 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3794674808 | $213.78 |
| 07-30 08:22 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3646483086 | $722.89 |
| 07-30 08:22 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3288318859 | $2.7k |
| 07-30 08:21 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2049295105 | $245.52 |
| 07-30 07:20 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30? | BUY | 0.5932008667 | $394.22 |
| 07-30 04:09 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30? | BUY | 0.4340130664 | $455.72 |
| 07-26 10:08 | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? | BUY | 0.0514861832 | $97.74 |
| 07-26 10:07 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.068730461 | $50.17 |
| 07-26 10:07 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0303557937 | $488.16 |
| 07-26 10:07 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0439668138 | $677.26 |
| 07-25 13:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3243319073 | $240.33 |
| 07-25 13:43 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $184.50 |
| 07-25 13:43 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $215.15 |
| 07-25 13:43 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06349675 | $253.99 |