PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

X-Rabbit.Sezu

0xc3262aeb0bd81deab067726635f5b5bd39201db1

Realised P&L
$33.4k
Volume
$2.11M
Markets traded
1,425
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,425
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7090.866$320.80+$57.98
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7310.825$307.16+$34.86
Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026? · No0.7800.855$213.75+$18.75
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3690.415$194.99+$21.38
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.4400.320$177.48$66.39
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5170.540$169.51+$7.41
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8150.892$161.54+$14.12
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0680.095$147.25+$41.26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3510.755$128.35+$68.59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4630.670$127.30+$39.24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.6980.865$116.05+$22.46
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2420.195$110.75$26.86
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8720.852$100.68$2.34
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2310.355$86.66+$30.23
Google announces a training pause by October 31? · No0.7720.910$68.25+$10.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:18Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?SELL0.8080024224$186.79
09-17 19:37Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?SELL0.705$24.67
09-17 19:36Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?BUY0.5168605358$180.19
09-17 18:27Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?BUY0.45$6.70
09-17 15:25Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.8145054945$148.24
09-17 15:23Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.7409649123$233.14
09-17 09:56Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?SELL0.26$13.00
09-17 05:45Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?BUY0.36$10.82
09-17 05:37Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.2327839159$25.24
09-17 05:36Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.088$5.37
09-17 05:32Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?SELL0.76$76.00
09-17 05:32Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?SELL0.24$31.23
09-17 01:36Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.78$195.00
09-17 01:24Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?SELL0.8709216$217.73
09-17 01:23Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?SELL0.8054194252$110.70