HerrieDavis
0xac4a1fabdac2438d6afa2a9e8e83845310a0bf1e
- Realised P&L
- $379.1k
- Volume
- $33.12M
- Markets traded
- 8,575
- Open portfolio
- $407.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded8,575
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.4kat 0.951US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$19.0kat 0.073Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$15.4kat 0.021US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
- +$13.5kat 0.015Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$13.4kat 0.600US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 08:17 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.99 | $10.8k |
| 08-11 08:16 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9801357491 | $1.2k |
| 08-04 01:52 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.37 | $4.50 |
| 08-04 01:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $23.10 |
| 08-04 01:45 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.154 | $0.99 |
| 08-04 01:43 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.476 | $13.90 |
| 08-04 01:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $13.21 |
| 08-04 01:30 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.162 | $0.97 |
| 08-04 01:29 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.637 | $9.55 |
| 08-04 01:29 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.209 | $14.63 |
| 08-04 01:15 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $49.80 |
| 08-04 01:14 | Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.69 |
| 08-04 01:12 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.636 | $25.44 |
| 08-04 01:08 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.47 |
| 08-04 01:02 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.929 | $13.99 |