HerrieDavis
0xac4a1fabdac2438d6afa2a9e8e83845310a0bf1e
- Realised P&L
- $328.5k
- Volume
- $35.26M
- Markets traded
- 9,771
- Open portfolio
- $226.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,771
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.4kat 0.951US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$19.0kat 0.073Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$18.1kat 0.210Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$15.4kat 0.021US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
- +$15.1kat 0.434Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 19:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.24 | $630.93 |
| 10-27 19:54 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.352 | $245.54 |
| 10-22 20:58 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $1.8k |
| 10-22 18:36 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $28.50 |
| 10-22 18:36 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $201.00 |
| 10-22 18:33 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.0635036503 | $197.02 |
| 10-22 18:31 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.1 | $331.47 |
| 10-22 18:26 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.52 | $11.37 |
| 10-22 18:26 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.52 | $81.90 |
| 10-22 18:21 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.1649004744 | $1.5k |
| 10-17 18:04 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.13 |
| 10-17 18:04 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.28 |
| 10-17 18:04 | Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 10-17 18:04 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 10-17 18:04 | Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.043 | $1.03 |