rewardbots
0x876bb030ddd424ef505ae02914024cf18c6a1703
- Realised P&L
- $7.3k
- Volume
- $2.24M
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $23.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.221Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.227Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$2.4kat 0.334Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.546Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.180Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:33 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 08-03 03:05 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.7924004047 | $1.5k |
| 08-03 02:59 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.764971018 | $407.80 |
| 08-03 02:30 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8881299983 | $1.5k |
| 08-03 02:24 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.8189722675 | $502.03 |
| 08-03 02:24 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $81.94 |
| 08-03 02:23 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.7832653061 | $230.28 |
| 08-03 02:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.2150495295 | $834.07 |
| 08-03 02:22 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.7795648543 | $466.69 |
| 08-03 02:22 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.7664672725 | $333.14 |
| 08-03 02:22 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.7081712783 | $619.37 |
| 08-02 21:19 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $67.90 |
| 08-02 21:19 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $106.39 |
| 08-02 21:18 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | SELL | 0.3727888662 | $316.21 |
| 08-02 20:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.4648705 | $929.74 |