molodoyy
0x564f22744b7941ade18d5e0e4f347c30e3057026
- Realised P&L
- $30.6k
- Volume
- $1.15M
- Markets traded
- 2,900
- Open portfolio
- $25.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,900
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.143Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?
- +$1.0kat 0.417Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?
- +$995.24at 0.020Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
- +$963.53at 0.171Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
- +$927.04at 0.181Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:53 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.067 | $0.84 |
| 08-02 22:49 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.067 | $1.64 |
| 08-02 21:18 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2016091954 | $8.77 |
| 08-02 19:53 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1779973342 | $26.71 |
| 08-02 19:53 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $90.00 |
| 08-02 18:11 | Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-02 18:10 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $90.00 |
| 08-02 18:06 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.204825414 | $45.52 |
| 08-02 18:05 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.527679603 | $70.70 |
| 08-02 18:02 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $8.46 |
| 08-02 18:02 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1804562764 | $71.65 |
| 08-02 18:01 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $39.96 |
| 08-02 18:01 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4271884984 | $133.71 |
| 08-02 18:01 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.1489738275 | $28.46 |
| 08-02 18:00 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $15.25 |