PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

molodoyy

0x564f22744b7941ade18d5e0e4f347c30e3057026

Realised P&L
$30.6k
Volume
$1.15M
Markets traded
2,900
Open portfolio
$25.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,900
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · No0.4260.700$1.4k+$532.76
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? · No0.5830.595$1.2k+$23.73
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.6060.705$1.1k+$161.43
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.6080.840$992.23+$273.68
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.8510.885$927.48+$35.64
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.7040.997$659.68+$193.82
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6270.705$639.84+$70.87
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1540.220$591.39+$177.53
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.6330.515$550.56$126.41
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.5080.960$479.78+$225.96
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? · No0.8560.949$472.98+$46.27
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.3750.705$449.95+$210.68
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.2370.540$404.79+$226.98
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026? · No0.8210.819$391.25$1.34
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5480.570$387.53+$14.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:53Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.067$0.84
08-02 22:49Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.067$1.64
08-02 21:18Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2016091954$8.77
08-02 19:53Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.1779973342$26.71
08-02 19:53Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5$90.00
08-02 18:11Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.99$9.90
08-02 18:10Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.5$90.00
08-02 18:06Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.204825414$45.52
08-02 18:05Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.527679603$70.70
08-02 18:02Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.47$8.46
08-02 18:02Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.1804562764$71.65
08-02 18:01Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.18$39.96
08-02 18:01Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.4271884984$133.71
08-02 18:01Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.1489738275$28.46
08-02 18:00Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.61$15.25