johnthek
0xd925e4f45a530beedb8852bb4eb901518215f36f
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $469.6k
- Markets traded
- 8,240
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,240
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.487Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.0kat 0.337Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
- +$1.2kat 0.390Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
- +$928.01at 0.756United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$857.90at 0.311LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 11-02 09:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 11-02 09:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 11-02 09:02 | Will US births in 2026 be between 3.53 million and 3.56 million? | BUY | 0.31 | $10.62 |
| 11-02 09:01 | Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 11-02 08:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 11-02 08:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 11-02 08:24 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $3.95 |
| 11-02 08:24 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $6.71 |
| 11-02 08:24 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.76 |
| 11-02 07:52 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $4.08 |
| 11-02 07:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 11-02 07:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 11-02 06:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 11-02 06:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |