kk22231
0x53fb927aaa49725744a6ac7eeedf51fd1c93e92a
- Realised P&L
- $476.81
- Volume
- $194.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,507
- Open portfolio
- $192.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,507
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$438.73at 0.114Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
- +$409.39at 0.068Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$361.35at 0.296Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
- +$227.46at 0.050Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
- +$187.99at 0.261Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 05:05 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $92.54 |
| 09-23 14:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $30.00 |
| 09-21 14:27 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.248751248 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 18:36 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $107.25 |
| 09-20 16:16 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.24 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 13:25 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $92.06 |
| 09-19 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.48 | $6.72 |
| 09-19 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3899999983 | $40.00 |
| 09-19 13:55 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1231788075 | $30.00 |
| 09-19 00:31 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2449999992 | $30.00 |
| 09-19 00:29 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.25 | $30.00 |
| 09-18 21:59 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |
| 09-18 20:14 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999986 | $30.00 |
| 09-18 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.4272277546 | $26.60 |
| 09-18 15:53 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $30.00 |