kk22231
0x53fb927aaa49725744a6ac7eeedf51fd1c93e92a
- Realised P&L
- $140.29
- Volume
- $132.7k
- Markets traded
- 460
- Open portfolio
- $305.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded460
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$438.72at 0.114Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
- +$227.46at 0.050Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
- +$189.94at 0.251Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
- +$150.00at 0.225Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
- +$129.00at 0.311Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 09:17 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.3268571429 | $57.20 |
| 08-09 21:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $30.00 |
| 08-09 14:37 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.2974909708 | $124.38 |
| 08-09 13:25 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.3719999936 | $30.00 |
| 08-09 08:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 08-09 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 08-08 03:55 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 07-28 01:37 | Will the earnings call not air? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.31 |
| 07-27 23:42 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.1201278376 | $36.04 |
| 07-27 23:39 | Will Reve have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $6.76 |
| 07-27 16:10 | Will Reve have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 07-27 15:59 | Will Meituan be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $28.68 |
| 07-27 14:48 | Will Meituan be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 07-27 13:56 | Will Meituan be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $25.00 |
| 07-27 13:56 | Will Meituan be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8099503722 | $16.32 |