PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kk22231

0x53fb927aaa49725744a6ac7eeedf51fd1c93e92a

Realised P&L
$476.81
Volume
$194.5k
Markets traded
1,507
Open portfolio
$192.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,507
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.2500.692$82.98+$52.98
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.2120.032$18.08−$101.92
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.205$17.08−$12.92
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.090$16.88−$13.13
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.2720.130$14.34−$15.66
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.2650.310$9.66+$1.39
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.3000.260$8.67−$1.33
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.1080.038$8.18−$14.81
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1280.025$5.84−$24.16
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.011$5.75−$24.25
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.0870.004$3.22−$59.18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.3100.065$2.10−$7.90
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.015$0.20−$4.80
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$12.00
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00−$34.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 05:05Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.78$92.54
09-23 14:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999971$30.00
09-21 14:27Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?BUY0.248751248$30.00
09-20 18:36Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?SELL0.55$107.25
09-20 16:16US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.24$30.00
09-20 13:25Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?SELL0.68$92.06
09-19 18:59Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.48$6.72
09-19 18:58Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.3899999983$40.00
09-19 13:55Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1231788075$30.00
09-19 00:31Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2449999992$30.00
09-19 00:29Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.25$30.00
09-18 21:59Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.06$30.00
09-18 20:14Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.2599999986$30.00
09-18 18:59Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19?BUY0.4272277546$26.60
09-18 15:53NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.16$30.00