donthackme
0x03805a13a0b3e058f55f6c6af95389d4f431073d
- Realised P&L
- $586.1k
- Volume
- $25.43M
- Markets traded
- 32,791
- Open portfolio
- $83.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded32,791
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$297.8kat 0.010Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$204.3kat 0.011Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
- +$139.4kat 0.070Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$134.1kat 0.101Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$108.6kat 0.230Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:55 | Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.81 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.886 | $88.60 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.886 | $44.30 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.886 | $35.44 |
| 08-02 22:48 | Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.3099999803 | $10.55 |
| 08-02 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.41 | $0.01 |
| 08-02 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.32 |
| 08-02 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.31 |
| 08-02 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9699999973 | $7.11 |
| 08-02 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7699999713 | $5.64 |
| 08-02 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.18 |
| 08-02 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $7.30 |
| 08-02 22:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $12.33 |
| 08-02 22:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.809999996 | $10.05 |
| 08-02 22:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.65 | $8.06 |