PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

donthackme

0x03805a13a0b3e058f55f6c6af95389d4f431073d

Realised P&L
$586.1k
Volume
$25.43M
Markets traded
32,791
Open portfolio
$83.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded32,791
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0360.910$2.6k+$2.5k
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.0000.865$1.9k+$1.9k
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? · No0.8380.875$1.9k+$78.59
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.0670.625$1.7k+$1.6k
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0290.973$1.5k+$1.4k
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0310.747$1.4k+$1.3k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2000.575$1.4k+$910.19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0360.236$1.3k+$1.1k
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0220.934$1.3k+$1.3k
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0360.496$1.3k+$1.2k
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · No0.9340.958$1.2k+$30.79
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · No0.9060.771$1.1k$187.50
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0290.295$1.0k+$904.17
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.3370.325$880.85$32.27
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8400.865$841.71+$24.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:55Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?BUY0.31$15.81
08-02 22:50Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.886$88.60
08-02 22:50Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.886$44.30
08-02 22:50Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.886$35.44
08-02 22:48Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?BUY0.3099999803$10.55
08-02 22:47Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?BUY0.41$0.01
08-02 22:47Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or higher on August 4?BUY0.999$7.32
08-02 22:47Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 4?BUY0.998$7.31
08-02 22:47Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 4?BUY0.9699999973$7.11
08-02 22:47Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4?BUY0.7699999713$5.64
08-02 22:47Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 4?BUY0.98$7.18
08-02 22:47Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 4?BUY0.9969999997$7.30
08-02 22:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4?BUY0.9939999998$12.33
08-02 22:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.809999996$10.05
08-02 22:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4?BUY0.65$8.06