PolyBot

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Traders

donthackme

0x03805a13a0b3e058f55f6c6af95389d4f431073d

Realised P&L
$833.5k
Volume
$41.89M
Markets traded
73,368
Open portfolio
$118.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded73,368
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0360.439$2.9k+$2.7k
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · No0.7340.772$2.6k+$125.29
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0311.000$2.5k+$2.4k
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · No0.7310.665$2.5k−$245.26
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.8890.930$2.4k+$105.26
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0360.925$2.4k+$2.3k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2000.705$2.2k+$1.6k
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · No0.7590.635$2.2k−$421.67
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.1000.961$2.1k+$1.9k
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? · No0.9560.983$2.1k+$55.44
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0770.971$2.1k+$1.9k
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.0190.739$1.6k+$1.6k
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? · No0.7100.665$1.4k−$94.88
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? · No0.6510.645$1.4k−$12.65
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.6020.590$1.4k−$28.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 02:19Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.5399999809$3.39
10-30 02:19Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.999$6.28
10-30 02:14Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 31?BUY0.5599999921$5.66
10-30 02:14Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 31?BUY0.998$5.82
10-30 02:14Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 31?BUY0.998$2.68
10-30 02:14Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 31?BUY0.559999911$1.51
10-30 02:14Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 31?BUY0.7899999329$2.12
10-30 02:14Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 31?BUY0.999$2.68
10-30 02:14Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 31?BUY0.5599999726$3.27
10-30 02:14Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 31?BUY0.7899999861$7.98
10-30 02:14Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 31?BUY0.7899999692$4.61
10-30 02:14Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 31?BUY0.999$5.83
10-30 02:14Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 31?BUY0.998$10.08
10-30 02:14Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 31?BUY0.999$21.24
10-30 02:14Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 31?BUY0.999$10.09