ifyouloveme
0x5a0d0c6eee71b96db16e5e271e0fa724be8dfa97
- Realised P&L
- $9.2k
- Volume
- $991.3k
- Markets traded
- 424
- Open portfolio
- $15.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded424
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.214US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$4.2kat 0.066Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$3.2kat 0.286Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$2.7kat 0.381US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$2.6kat 0.034Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:28 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.262 | $25.42 |
| 09-21 16:19 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.9100750638 | $121.24 |
| 09-21 15:50 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.75 |
| 09-21 15:24 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.254 | $33.84 |
| 09-21 15:08 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4479138024 | $1.0k |
| 09-21 15:08 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4408440367 | $240.26 |
| 09-21 15:08 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 09-21 15:07 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4292727273 | $23.61 |
| 09-21 15:04 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.42 | $171.31 |
| 09-21 15:04 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4145632207 | $231.90 |
| 09-21 09:38 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 09-21 09:16 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.07 | $19.56 |
| 09-21 00:34 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.49 |
| 09-21 00:22 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.67 | $31.66 |
| 09-21 00:21 | Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6648607726 | $83.47 |