PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ifyouloveme

0x5a0d0c6eee71b96db16e5e271e0fa724be8dfa97

Realised P&L
$9.2k
Volume
$991.3k
Markets traded
424
Open portfolio
$15.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded424
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? · No0.6750.945$2.8k+$811.20
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.4410.468$1.6k+$91.69
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.1710.210$1.1k+$195.83
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · No0.3190.170$850.00$745.66
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Yes0.2430.964$799.67+$598.42
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · No0.6050.540$674.37$81.44
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? · Yes0.5290.730$620.50+$170.85
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8300.935$563.24+$63.25
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? · No0.5660.994$526.33+$226.33
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4230.785$459.09+$211.44
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1990.175$437.51$59.02
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? · No0.3930.670$424.81+$175.50
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · No0.9220.981$392.23+$23.46
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026? · No0.8540.977$385.81+$48.43
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.3850.501$384.66+$89.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 16:28Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?BUY0.262$25.42
09-21 16:19Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?SELL0.9100750638$121.24
09-21 15:50Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.18$2.75
09-21 15:24Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?BUY0.254$33.84
09-21 15:08Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.4479138024$1.0k
09-21 15:08Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.4408440367$240.26
09-21 15:08Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.43$8.60
09-21 15:07Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.4292727273$23.61
09-21 15:04Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.42$171.31
09-21 15:04Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.4145632207$231.90
09-21 09:38Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5$250.00
09-21 09:16Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?BUY0.07$19.56
09-21 00:34Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.75$7.49
09-21 00:22Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.67$31.66
09-21 00:21Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6648607726$83.47