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Traders

sunnynotbunny

0x4d024ca7cc33791eb197285f685dbfc3a0fe2ad3

Realised P&L
$-27.2k
Volume
$398.5k
Markets traded
2,385
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,385
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No0.3740.920$147.68+$87.68
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30? · Yes0.3950.660$123.60+$49.60
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.4790.985$123.33+$63.33
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30? · No0.7930.980$122.27+$23.27
Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.7600.875$87.50+$11.50
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? · No0.3930.898$86.91+$48.91
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? · Yes0.2090.230$82.69+$7.69
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.1580.425$80.62+$50.62
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · Yes0.4700.625$79.79+$19.79
Will Vander Loubet win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election? · No0.7200.850$70.85+$10.85
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? · No0.3600.845$70.42+$40.42
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026? · No0.8700.955$65.86+$5.86
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31? · No0.6900.735$63.93+$3.93
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? · No0.8500.905$63.88+$3.88
Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election? · Yes0.7600.795$62.76+$2.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:24Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.1842487271$22.00
09-17 07:01Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.7199999942$20.00
09-17 05:53Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.219182449$30.00
09-17 05:37Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3399999966$20.00
09-16 19:57Will SER hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?BUY0.2609771491$30.00
09-16 19:41No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$30.00
09-16 19:23Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?BUY0.3399999966$30.00
09-16 19:08Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?BUY0.2978630708$30.00
09-16 18:56Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?BUY0.7599999944$60.00
09-16 18:37Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?SELL0.66$36.96
09-16 18:36Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?SELL0.4$18.44
09-16 17:21Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?BUY0.6199999964$17.00
09-16 16:05Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?BUY0.712871286$30.00
09-16 12:57Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?BUY0.395154631$74.00
09-16 12:04Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?SELL0.8$62.15
Trader sunnynotbunny · PolyBot Pro